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《大行報告》瑞銀料內銀次季業績或啟下調股盈預測周期 行業前景審慎
阿思達克 08-13 14:24
瑞銀發表報告表示,MSCI內地銀行指數於過去一個月下跌6.7%,跑輸MSCI中國指數(跌3.1%),當中招商銀行(03968.HK)表現最好,僅跌0.6%;建行(00939.HK)則最差表現,跌9.2%,而南下資金佔內銀H股自由流通量達23%。至於內銀股A股過去一個月則跌1.23%,跑贏滬深300指數。

報告補充,中國銀保監會公布內銀第二季及上半年純利料跌24%及9.4%,跌幅高於該行預期之跌7.1%及0.4%。該行補充,由於銀行資產質量的可見性仍然較低,該行對中期盈利之增長前景保持謹慎,預期內銀第二季度的業績可能引致市場新一輪降級行動,銀行股息和資本也可能面臨負利潤增長的壓力。但短期而言,市場流動性充裕下,中國和歐美經濟體的復甦以及對收益預期下降或有利於內銀股反彈。

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