港股異動 | 移卡一度升超11%續創新高,市場預期其有望納入港股通
uSMART友信智投8月11日消息,次新股繼續大升,截至9:57分,移卡一度升超11%,觸及75港元,續創歷史新高。
移卡於今年6月1日登陸港交所,發行價為16.64港元,上市至今,股價累計升超350%。
光大證券:“碼”上定乾坤,SaaS業務多點開花
光大證券8月10日的研報指出,中國收單市場可分為銀行卡收單與二維碼掃碼兩種。銀行卡收單發展多年,規模遠大於二維碼掃碼。二維碼收單業務受益於支付寶、微信“碼上大戰”,近兩年發展速度較快。二維碼掃碼業務分為正掃與反掃兩種,其中正掃的介面由聚合支付服務商提供,即聚合支付服務商可以在此頁面上進行開發,提供增值服務。
移卡支付交易量的迅速成長來自於二維碼掃碼業務。受益於二維碼掃碼業務的迅速發展,移卡交易量迅速由2017年的0.2萬億增長到2019年的1.5萬億,支付業務收入由3億成長到21億。同時,伴隨支付業務的快速發展,公司科技賦能業務也得到快速成長。根據公司招股說明書披露,公司超過90%的科技賦能商業客戶由支付服務客戶轉化而來。
移卡的競爭力在於獨立的生態系統。移卡通過支付業務構建了一個獨立的生態系統及行銷平台,而不單一依賴於某個生態系統生存,這是移卡作為獨立協力廠商支付平台的核心競爭力之一。
長期來看,我們看好移卡的發展空間。目前移卡SaaS業務整體仍處在起步階段,我們看好移卡在SaaS產品、線上行銷以及金融科技方面的全面佈局,特別是隨著移卡支付交易量擴大及支付細分垂直領域不斷落地,帶來的SaaS產品及線上行銷收入的快速增長。
投資建議:持續看好公司發展,維持“買入”評級。在經濟內迴圈的當下,小店經濟發展將迎來歷史機遇。我們認為公司管理團隊實力雄厚,戰略方向清晰,公司SaaS業務目前尚處在起步階段,持續看好公司科技賦能商戶業務發展空間。公司8月以來股價持續上升,已處於我們此前測算的合理區間內,但考慮到公司長期來看具有較大發展空間,且市場預期公司有望在近期加入港股通標的,將帶來增量配置資金,我們維持20E-22E收入/淨利預測27/4億元,36/5億元,45/7億元,維持“買入”評級。
風險提示:納入滬港通事項存在不確定性;央行數位貨幣推行面臨不確定性;科技賦能商業業務發展進度不達預期;收單市場競爭激烈導致公司未來收入存在下降可能。
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