耀才团队: 恒指能否稳守100天线将成关键
耀才证券研究部团队称,隔晚(10日)美股三大指数个别发展,道指大涨三百点,标指迫近历史新高,纳指则先跌後回稳。美国上月非农就业数据胜预期,带动美汇指数近来显着反弹,金价亦从高位回落,但其他商品价格则持续反弹,油、铜、铝及白银价格近来仍维持强势。港股ADR全线上升,汇控(00005.HK)ADR升逾1.5%,料恒指今早有望先行反弹100点以上。一众科技股能否於短期後市转势将是关键。
从技术上看,恒指近日正反覆下试100天线之支持,如前文所述,100天线之支持实不容再度失守,若恒指最终跌穿100天线之支持,整个反覆寻底之格局将会延续,其时较关键的支持位将退至6月15日低位23,684点。而较关键的阻力位在20天线25,000点关口,一日恒指未能突破此关,目前最好仍采取观望态度。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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