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郭思治: 大市技术上已开始进入中期调整之中
阿思达克 08-10 11:02
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,本月大市经过上周五(7日)一轮急挫後,由於恒指曾一度低见24,167点,即技术上已跌穿3日之低位24,250点,故本月大市之形态现已扭转为先高而後低,恒指暂是由6日之高位25,201点跌至7日之低位24,167点,即月内之波幅已稍扩阔至1,034点,需留意的是,大市於3日及7日之日中均曾跌穿100天线,即恒指曾两度跌穿所有常用之平均移动线,单後走势上看,大市明显已转弱,且亦已亮起中期调整之警号,而自7月7日高位26,782点开始之调整,至今已运行四周,如大市之弱势未变,则整固反覆欲试低位之弱态可能会延续至8月20日,即预期会有约6周之反覆回落。

目前中美问题正续步升级,影响所及,单看腾讯(00700.HK)股价於上周五(7日)曾一度自559元大幅急挫至499.4元,已可得知市场已开始受累,在避险情绪渐升温下,只要沽压再稍作主动,整个大市忧难走出困局,面对持续反覆不明之市势,投资者当需提高戒心,即任何短线投机活动,一旦形势不对便需理性减磅或止蚀。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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