《即日市评》汇控绩後创11年低 港股受压 科技股逆市扬
重磅股汇控(00005.HK)公布中期业绩後捱沽,港股今日向下。美国共和及民主两党仍未就新一轮刺激经济方案达成共识,执笔之时美汇指数升至93.4150,美股道指期货最新跌64点或0.24%,美股纳指期货最新升46点或0.4%。7月财新中国制造业PMI升至52.8,录九年半来最高,上证综指升1.8%收3,367,内地创业板指数升2.6%,沪深两市成交额共1.33万亿人民币。
恒指低开28点後,初段曾倒升51点见24,647点,其後随即转跌,曾低见24,250点跌344点。内地股市午後升幅扩大,恒指尾市跌幅收窄,最终全日跌137点或0.6%,收24,458点;国指跌6点或0.1%,收10,033点;恒生科技指数升137点或1.9%,报7,292点。大市全日成交总额1,304.57亿元,沪、深港通南下交易录得净流入金额分别为34.04亿及26.37亿元人民币。部份科技股有支持,美团(03690.HK)及中芯(00981.HK)股价各升4.5%及4.9%。
【汇控创新低 业绩逊预期】
汇控(00005.HK)上半年列帐基准及经调整除税前溢利均逊预期,全日股价跌4.4%报33.4元,为跌幅最大蓝筹,盘中低见32.95元逾11年低位,单股拖低恒指下跌97点。汇控上半年按列账基准除税前利润按年倒退65.2%至43.18亿美元,低於本网早前综合3间券商之53.32亿美元至59.3亿美元预测。纯利按年倒退76.8%至19.77亿美元,每股盈利0.1美元。年率化後平均普通股股东权益回报自去年同期的10.4%下降至2.4%。集团上半年普通股权一级比率自去年同期的14.3%提升至15%。
汇控预期,信贷损失的敏感度分析中应用一系列权重,得出今年的预期信贷损失准备可能介乎80亿美元至130亿美元的结果。监於平均经济预测转差以及今年第二季的实际损失经验,此范围比首季为高,并会继续受新型肺炎疫情及地缘政局紧张带来的高度不明朗因素影响。
摩根大通发表报告指,汇控第二季经调整税前盈利26亿美元,逊市场预期。期内减值38美亿元,亦较市场预期高44%。资产质素逊预期,目前料今年度信贷损失准备介乎80亿-130亿美元,高於之前预测的70亿-110亿美元。该行下调公司预期,以反映收入受压,但部份会被成本改善抵销。
【沽空率上升 恒生绩後弱】
港股今日市宽略转弱,主板股票的升跌比率为22比21(上日为23比19),恒指成份股今日13只股份上升,下跌股份36只,升跌比率为26比72(上日为42比50);大市日录沽空173.2亿元,占可沽空股份成1,070.17亿元的16.184%(上日为15.466%)。
恒生(00011.HK)全日股价跌2.9%报118.4元。恒生公布上半年营业额272.59亿元,按年跌19.4%。其中净利息收入为147.92亿,按年跌6.69%,净服务费收入为31.75亿元,按年跌8.9%。纯利91.43亿元,按年跌33%,经调整盈利为88.64亿元,跌33.59%,为预期低位;每股盈利4.64元。考虑到2019冠状病毒病带来的不明确因素及挑战,以及本地监管机构建议银行应保留资金储备以应对将来潜在的挑战及支持香港之经济活动,集团宣布派第二次中期息0.8元,上半年合共每股派息1.9元,去年同期为2.8元。
瑞银发表报告指,恒生上半年每股盈利按年跌34%,分别较该行及市场预期低21%及17%,主要因为收入及拨备前利润(PPoP)势头逊预期,而次季恒生每股派息0.8元,低於首季的1.1元,予「沽售」评级,目标价109元。(wl/a)
~
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.