耀才團隊: 恆指至今仍受制10天線之下
耀才證券研究部團隊稱,美股上周五(7月31日)先跌後回升,美國政府新一輪的救市計劃未明朗,拖累美股早段向下,道指最多曾跌逾300點,但大型科技公司業績理想,蘋果股價大升一成多,帶動道指尾市回升,納指則連升三日,上周五收報10,745點,升157點或1.5%。「黑期」今早變動不大,港股短期後市缺乏明確方向。美匯指數近來從低位反彈,現貨金今早創歷史新高,高見每盎司1,984美元後掉頭回落,在憂慮經濟前景的因素影響下,有色金屬價格亦全線下挫,美元短期後市表現仍是市場焦點。
另外,匯控(00005.HK)今日將公布中期業績,綜合多間券商預測,匯控第二季預期列賬基準稅前利潤中位數為24.6億美元(約192億港元),按年挫六成,按季計算則跌23.8%。
從技術上看,恆指近來反彈乏力,指數一直受制於10天線之阻力,而上周五恆指更初步跌穿50天線(暫在24,678點)。觀望7月份恆指之表現,指數衝高至26,782點後回落,月線圖上呈現一個「射擊之星」,8月份之表現目前不宜過份樂觀,一旦指數跌穿24,000點關口,則宜慎防仍會出現更深之調整。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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