耀才团队: 恒指有望重返25,000点关口
耀才证券研究部团队称,隔晚(29日)美股上升,科技股造好带动标普500及纳指升幅较大,联储局维持利率不变,储局重申会动用所有工具支持经济复苏,消息公布後带动美股升幅再进一步扩大,道指最多升逾200点,最终升幅收窄至160点。
港股ADR靠稳,汇控(00005.HK)ADR再升2.2%见36.53元,黑期今早亦上升约100点,逼近25,000点关口。美汇弱势持续,港元兑美元汇价再度偏强,在纽约市场尾段触及强方兑换保证。本港金管局承接美元沽盘,向市场注入31亿港元,为相隔三周後再度入市干预。本港银行体系结余将升至约1,834亿元,创逾四年半最高水平。
港股短期内或再有热钱流入,短线反弹势头有望出现,而大市於此轮反弹的成交金额表现将成关键。
从技术上看,恒指近来拉锯於10天及50天线之间,目前首个阻力位在10天线,即25,000点关口,而较关键的阻力位在20天线,即25,400点水平,恒指如能於短期後市在成交配合下突破此关,该有望打破自7月7日高位26,782点开始之调整格局。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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