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羅兵咸永道將今年香港零售銷售額預測下調至跌19.7%
阿思達克 07-21 12:34
羅兵咸永道消費市場行業亞太區、中國內地及香港主管合夥人鄭煥然在網上會議上表示,預期今年本港零售銷售額將按年跌19.7%至3,460億元,較其年初預期的跌2.5%至4,200億元大幅下調。他預期,第三波疫情退卻後,本港零售料會在9至10月有輕微復甦,主要是因為去年同期受到社會事件影響而出現低基數效應,以及新型號5G手機或會在8至9月份推出所致,並有望在11月份迎來全面復甦,冀訪港旅客人數會在其時回升。

然而,若香港在11至12月份仍未能通關的話,零售銷售額的跌幅會較現時的19.7%更大。他相信,珠寶商仍是受到最大影響的行業,其很多客人的部署都是比較保守,坦言沒有內地旅客訪港對它們影響很大,看到他們加緊網上銷售及減省成本,並有申請政府補貼,不認為它們會退出香港市場。

他提到,最近有很多國際品牌暫時撤退香港及減少零售據點,料此情況會持續。他預料不論是街舖還是商場的租金都有3成至4成跌幅,驅使零售商進行一些舖面重組的工作,以及發展網上銷售。

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