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郭思治: 国际油价反弹 相关股份成市场焦点
阿思达克 04-03 10:28
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,美股昨晚(2日)先跌後升,道指早市先低开124点至20,819点,其後再进一步跌至20,735点方见喘定。由於产油国就国际油价问题可能达成协议,故在油价反弹刺激下,市场气氛亦略见改善。在资金回补下,道指卒逐步上移至21,477点放见止步,其後一直处反覆拉据中,最後报收21,413点,较上日升469点。从走势上看,道指自3月23日低位18,213点开始之反弹,至3月26日高位22,595点止计,在短短四日内已急升达4,382点。论步伐确颇偏促,故稍见回吐乃正常现象。由於经济前景不明,故美股即使能再稍推升,惟相信幅度亦有限。

港股昨先跌而後升,恒指於日中曾一度低见22,756点,即技术上曾稍跌穿10天线(23,067点)。惟其後市势回升,恒指最後报收23,280点,较上日升194点,即10天线仍未有失。前文已述,只要恒指能续稳守10天线之上,即表示大市技术上仍续处反弹之势头中。只是大市之交投似稍放缓,故在动力不配下,大市即使再作推升,惟步伐亦会渐偏反覆。估计石油相关之板块会成市场焦点,如中海洋石油(00883.HK)、中石油(00857.HK)、中海油田服务(02883.HK)、F三星原油期(03175.HK)等。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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