郭思治: 大市暂进入反覆不明之阶段中
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,6月大市可谓大上大落,恒指於上旬时份是由1日之低位23,539点升至10日之高位25,303点,即累积升幅为1,764点,且更於1日遗留下一大型上升裂口,介乎23,089点至23,539点,阔450点,此大型上升裂口一直悬空待补,从技术上看,由於恒指继成功重越10天,20天及50天线後,更一度重越100天线,即其时移动线之目标已直指250天线,但当大市踏进中旬时份後,情况却见180度之转变,首先,大市在美股急跌拖累下大幅急回,恒指更於12日一度低见23,895点,即在短短三个交易日内,恒指已急挫1,408点,且恒指更一度跌穿10天,20天及50天线,虽大市最後在技术反弹下报收24,301点,即仍能隐企20天及50天线之上,但10天线则已告失守。
目前10天线正位於24,486点,严格而言,恒指一日仍未能成功重越其之上时,整个大市仍会在反覆中处待变,但有一点可见到,大市虽见明显回吐,惟一众大数据股份却相对较硬净,如腾讯(00700.HK),阿里巴巴(09988.HK),美团点评(03690.HK),平安好医生(01833.HK)等之走势均不俗,其中以美团点评及平安好医生之走势最佳。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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