郭思治: 大市续反覆於250天线之下 交投亦稍缩减
帝(峰)证券及资产管理有限公司行政总裁郭思治称,大市昨天(13日)续处急升後之整固中,以恒指最後微升44点至25,772点计,技术上已是第二个交易日反覆於250天线(26,054点)之下。惟幸是暂仍稳企於10天线(25,538点)之上,即是说,大市暂只属高台整固待变而已,情况尚不算太差。严格而言,一日恒怕指仍能续稳企於10天线之上,少许回吐所带出之问题该不大。但需留意,目前10天线与现指仅差200多点而已,只要大市再稍作反覆,技术止便会出现触及之警号。
另外,昨天之成交金额为1,712亿元,论交投该尚算畅顺。但相对上周平均每天之成交金额均超过2,000亿元计,银码上似有点退缩。以目前大市仍靠紧26,000点左近计,交投该不能退缩,因一旦大市之动力减退,後市要再试顶便有点难度。
直到目前止计,较强势之恒指成份股仍为腾讯(00700.HK)及港交所(00388.HK),另国寿(02628.HK)及平安(02318.HK)亦偏强。惟其他主要恒指成份股之表现则只属一般,其中以汇控(00005.HK)之表现最差,故即使强势股再稍推升,资金似仍过分集中。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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