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耀才团队: 「黑期」预示恒指有望续试高位
阿思达克 07-07 12:01
耀才研究部称,周一环球股市造好,虽然全球新冠病毒确诊个案持续上升,但市场对经济前景充满信心,各国经济数据有持续改善迹象,隔晚欧美股市升幅约1.5-2%。中港股市昨日表现更气势如虹,「黑期」今早(7日)升近400点至26,700点水平左近,中资股ADR表现较佳,而中概股则显着上升,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)在美股急升7.3%,股价短线有望追落後或甚至创上市新高。

港汇亦持续强势,多次触及7.75强方兑换保证水平,金管局近来不断入市沽出港元,本港银行体系结余在本周三将会增加至1,387.86亿港元。中港两地短线表现牛气冲天,目前唯一宜留意的是中美关系会否於短期内产生变化,美国总统特朗普将会於短期内对中国公布数项措施,影响程度实在难以估计。

从技术上看,恒指已修补3月遗留下的下降裂口,且反弹今年跌浪的0.618,短线能否於此水平企稳将是关键。资金入市态度积极,目前只要维持短线操作,相信问题仍不会太大,短线亦可留意日均成交金额能否持续维持於1,800亿港元以上水平。走势上,恒指可先留意於短期後市能否续企稳250天线,而只要未有於高位回调约一成幅度以上,指数後市目标该可上移约27,500至28,000点水平。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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