渣打料本港次季經濟見谷底 下半年衰退幅度收窄
渣打大中華區高級經濟師劉健恆於網上會議上表示,本港經濟去年第三季起陷技術性衰退,於低基數的影響下,料本港第三季及第四季衰退情況將收窄,GDP按年分別將倒退6.8%及3%,次季GDP則料將倒退10.5%,相信是谷底。
劉健恆指,雖然政府恢復限聚令不准餐廳經營晚市堂食,惟由於去年第三季基數較低,因此若第三季衰退要低於第二季幅度,經濟表現需要相當差,認為可能性不大。渣打亦維持全年失業率介乎6%至7%的預測,料頂點將於年底出現。
渣打料下半年經濟將會好於上半年,惟仍受國際封關限制,旅遊業及跨境活動未見於短期內復甦,政治及社會不確定性亦不會於短期內消失。
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.