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零售業行業化粧品行業深度報告之四:從薇諾娜、玉澤和潤百顏看功能性護膚品賽道,維持“推薦”評級
格隆匯 07-15 09:14

機構:國元證券

評級:推薦

報告要點:

消費羣體變化+營銷觸達加速,促進功能性護膚品需求釋放

近年來功能性護膚品市場快速崛起,其中細分的皮膚學級市場空間2019 年達到 135.51 億元,2014-2019 年均複合增長率達到 23.2%,增速遠高於化粧品行業的整體增速。國產品牌中,以成分原料為主導的護膚品牌 HomefacialPro、華熙生物旗下潤百顏、以及皮膚學級護膚品牌薇諾娜、玉澤等品牌均實現強勢爆發。我們認為,功能性護膚品賽道快速爆發的主要原因有二:一方面,90 後為核心的年輕消費羣體在化粧品消費領域增速最快,他們對於美粧消費的需求更加細分;另一方面,功能性護膚品的品牌故事(醫研共創、成分故事)在 90 後消費羣體中的認可度更高,同時內容營銷與直播電商成為品牌 “放大器”,一批功能性護膚品牌快速成長。

功能性護膚品信任背書強,自帶自然流量,後續盈利提升空間大

功能性護膚品產品門檻較高,研發週期與研發投入通常高於大眾護膚品,但對於消費者而言具備更強的信任背書,品牌自帶自然流量,從歐萊雅集團各部門的營業利潤率對比中可以看出,活性健康化粧品部平均比大眾化粧品部高 3pct,同時國產化粧品公司中貝泰妮的盈利能力顯著領先,長期看這一賽道品牌盈利空間大。此外,對標國際頭部功能性護膚品牌雅漾、理膚泉 80-100 億的規模,國內僅有薇諾娜收入規模接近 20 億,其餘規模均在 5 億以下,目前仍處於高速成長期。

投資建議與盈利預測

功能性護膚已成為當前美粧消費的風口之一,預計在消費者代際切換、美粧消費持續升級的情況下,行業仍將保持快速增長。同時因功能性護膚的醫研背景或原料背景,天然具備強大背書,年輕羣體認可度高;並且品牌本身具備強內容屬性,在內容營銷和直播電商的紅利期下,銷售額迅速被放大。建議關注:上海家化:國內日化用品龍頭,具備多品牌多渠道矩陣,2019 年在自有電商團隊運營下,推動功能性護膚品牌玉澤異軍突起,2020 年管理層換帥有望為公司經營效率、盈利能力帶來邊際改善;華熙生物:全球透明質酸龍頭,在原料、醫療終端、護膚品等板塊全產業鏈佈局,2018 年發力功能性護膚品板塊後推出多個差異化定位的品牌,在強大原料優勢下有望順應行業趨勢快速增長;貝泰妮:旗下主品牌薇諾娜為國內 TOP1 功能性護膚品牌,近年在電商渠道與線下醫藥渠道均有良好表現,當前 IPO 正式獲深交所受理。

風險提示

品牌市場競爭加劇,行業景氣度下滑,新冠疫情影響具有不確定性。

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