郭思治: 大市现时上望目标该为100天线(25,223点)
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,上周五(5日)大市早市先轻微高开22点至24,388点,其後曾一度出现回吐而低见24,253点。惟由於未有追沽压力,加上资金开始追捧传统恒指成份股如汇控(00005.HK)、恒生(00011.HK)、长实集团(01113.HK)、新地(00016.HK)及恒地(00012.HK)等,均在资金追捧下出现急升。大市午後升势转急,日中高位为24,810点,即此刻恒指已急升444点,最後报收24,770点,较上日升404点,全日总成交金额为1,348亿元。
以恒指曾一度高见24,810点计,即大市已初步突破5月11日之高位24,766点,现时之目标当直指4月29日之高位24,855点。值得一提的是,大市自3月19日低位21,139点开始之反弹,技术上已止步於4月29日之高位24,855点。而经过3,716点之反弹後,终反覆回吐至5月25日之低位22,519点。目前大市正处回吐後之反弹中,恒指一旦成功升越24,855点,即表示自3月19日低位21,139点开始之反弹仍在延续中,至少渐呈浪高於浪之升势,目标直指100天线(25,223点)。
至於本月大市在先低後高之形态主导下,波幅暂已扩阔至1,271点(1日之低位23,539点升至5日之高位24,810点)。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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