郭思治: 6月可能再出現炒股不炒市之情況
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨天再進一步反彈,恆指早市先高開246點至23,198點,其後曾稍見回調而低見23,165點。但由於沽壓不大,加上維穩買盤續見湧現,故市勢得以在緩步中再往上反彈,日中高位為23,481點,恆指最後報收23,384點,較上日升432點,全日總成交金額為1,070億元。先從技術上看,雖大市目前仍反覆於各組常用之平均移動線之下,惟以50天線已跌至23,718點計,只要大市再上升400點,已可初步重越該線。況且,目前大市已漸升離本月之低位22,519點,論形勢該有利於在月底前再進一步反彈。
今天是即月期指轉倉高峰日。以昨天恆指報收23,384點計,相距本月4日之低位23,584點實不遠。嚴格而言,大市如能在本月初進行轉倉,可能代表一種好倉大戶仍有部署在後頭。因傳6月份將有中概股來港掛牌,一般估計其時市場之氣氛該會較熱鬧,或者在投資及投機性資金推動下,整個大市又會再出現炒股不炒市之情況。事實上,新經濟股月來之表現一直強於大市,尤其是港交所(00388.HK),股價已升近年來之高位左近。(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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