英國負利率來了!疫情之下不得不做的選擇
北京時間5月20日消息,英國首次以負利率發行了37.5億英鎊2023年到期的國債,收益率為-0.003%。

在此前英國央行官員一直是反對將利率降至零以下,因為直接損害銀行利益,前英國央行行長馬克-卡尼表示負利率會毀了英國,而英國央行行長安德魯·貝利在5月14日就表示“負利率這不是我們目前正在計劃或考慮的事情,這是一個重大的溝通挑戰,並且對銀行來説將是困難的。"
自3月23日英國封城之後經濟遭受重大打擊,,根據數據顯示4月份英國申領失業救濟金人數高達近210萬人,為24年來最高水平,環比增加85.6萬人,增幅為69.1%,是1971年有記錄以來最大增幅;同比增加101.7萬人,增幅達94.2%。同時英國統計署的初步估測,一季度英國GDP環比下降2%,是2008年金融危機以來的最大降幅,在3月GDP環比下降就達到5.8%,再加上疫情仍然沒有出現拐點,截至當地時間5月18日9時,英國新冠肺炎確診病例達246406例,單日新增2684例。
所以在當前,英國脱歐的擔憂加上新冠疫情的封城,造成的結果是英國經濟是近100年來最嚴重衰退,英國政府不得不做出改變。
在英國央行負責制定利率的官員西爾瓦娜·坦雷羅18日參加倫敦政治經濟學院的一場視頻研討會時,談及負利率的益處。“我個人認為,縱觀歐洲的經驗,負利率具有積極意義。”同時在週二英國央行委員滕雷羅表示:我個人的觀點是負利率對歐洲產生了積極影響。
此次實行的負利率也僅僅是在國債方面,銀行股價反應並沒有太大反應,截至發稿時間,英國股市當中的銀行股也僅僅是略微跌幅,其中渣打集團跌幅1.35%,勞埃德銀行集團跌0.63%。

實施負利率,首先利好黃金,截至發稿時間倫敦金(現貨黃金)漲0.29%報1750.17點,並且黃金指數從最低點1451.55點至今,刷新了9年以來的新高,有望衝擊1800點。

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