原油 | 欧佩克+会议召开在即,原油市场恐生波澜
石油输出国组织(欧佩克)与俄罗斯、美国等国与非欧佩克产油国将于4月9日(北京时间22点)召开紧急视频会议,此次会议的关注点在于产油国之间能否达成新的减产协议。此次会议将成为石油价格战的一个转折点。
此前,在3月召开的“欧佩克+”部长会议上,参与国之间就减产这一问题未能达成协议,致使国际油价跌入冰点,低至接近20美元/桶。原油市场本就受疫情的影响较大,此番更是致使产油国收入锐减。
如果油价长期维持在较低的状态,可能会引起世界经济的衰退。俄罗斯总统普京表示,俄愿与美国和欧佩克采取协调一致行动,以确保石油市场长期稳定。
沙特阿美石油公司则特意将5月份官方售价的公布时间延迟至4月10日,以观望会议可能产生的结果。
美国总统特朗普也在社交媒体上宣布:“沙特和俄罗斯等产油国将同意减产1000万桶/日—1500万桶/日。”但遭到了沙特和俄罗斯的否认。
这一波举动,使得国际油价出现大幅上涨,后又出现回落,油市一直处于不稳定的状态。
有消息指出,沙特、俄罗斯和其他成员国在近期谈话中同意大幅削减原油产量的前提是,美国和其他几个国家也加入减产队伍,以支撑遭受新冠疫情重创的油价。
而美国能源部却在4月7日的一份声明中指出,在白宫坚持不干预私人市场的情况下,美国的(石油)产出已经出现下降。只不过这种下降会非常缓慢,在未来两年内缓慢进行。
4月9日最新消息则指出,俄罗斯在任何全球减产协议下,最大减产幅度为200万桶/日。
就目前来看,俄罗斯最大减产幅度增加,已经是为这次协议的达成降低了难度。但与沙特之间是否能够消除分歧,美国是否会改变之前不置可否的态度,都将会影响此次协议的达成。
总而言之,各国之间能够就这一问题进行协商,已经体现了各国积极的态度。无论此次会议结果如何,这对此前原油市场变动的恐慌也带来一定的缓和。
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