《即日市评》美联储突减息 汇控承压 人币走强内房股扬
美联储昨晚突然减息半厘,但汇丰香港维持最优惠利率在5%不变,港股今日个别发展。美联储昨晚突然宣布大手减息半厘,联邦基金利率下降至1厘至1.25厘。声明称美国经济基本面仍强劲,不过疫情对经济活动带来的风险加剧,美股道指收跌785点或2.9%,执笔之时美汇指数跌至97.2560。中国2月财新服务业PMI急跌至26.5点远逊预期,逾14年来首次录按月收缩,市场憧憬人行「放水」,上证综指升0.6%收3,011,沪深两市成交额共9,920亿人民币。而人民币兑美元即期收升477点报6.9331兑一美元。香港2月采购经理指数(PMI)急挫至33.1创历史新低,疫情重大冲击经济,港股今日发展不一。恒指今早高开36点後倒跌,曾跌246点一度低见26,038点,其後曾反弹倒升87点,最终全日跌62点或0.2%,收26,222点:国指升36点或0.4%,收10,521点。大市全日成交总额1,109.75亿元。沪、深港通南下交易全日录得净流入金额分别为15.65亿及4.71亿元人民币。领展(00823.HK)股价涨3.1%,香港电讯(06823.HK)涨0.7%。【联储突减息 港银股受压】本港银行股普遍造淡,汇控(00005.HK)及渣打(02888.HK)股价各下滑2.3%及3.3%,中银(02388.HK)走低2.4%,而恒生(00011.HK)跌近4%;但东亚银行(00023.HK)上升5.5%,该行聘高盛为业务作全面检讨。就美联储局昨晚(3日)突宣布减息,花旗发表报告表示,联储局减息损害本港银行盈利前景,後者面临内生风险上升,对本港银行看法更趋审慎,决定一举下调对恒生银行投资评级,由「买入」降至「沽售」,将目标价由180元降至140元;将中银香港评级,由「买入」降至「中性」,将目标价由30.6元降至28元;同下调大新金融(00440.HK)及大新银行集团(02356.HK)评级,均由「中性」降至「沽售」。花旗料联储局今年内再下调息率两次(各25基点)、明年再减息一次,决定下调对恒生银行纯利预测7%至13%,降中银盈利预测5%至7%。花旗现预期恒生今年每股盈利按年跌17%,中银每股盈利则按年跌14%。倘未来美联储减息多於三次,恒生及中银盈利前景料有进一步下行压力。【市宽略转弱 内房有支持】港股今日市宽略转弱,主板股票的升跌比率为20比22(上日23为比20),恒指成份股今日26只股份上升,下跌股份20只,升跌比率为52比40(上日为48比44);大市今日录沽空175.92亿元,占可沽空股份927.53亿元的18.966%(上日为18.787%)。人民币变相升值,内房股有支持,融创中国(01918.HK)股价抽高4.4%,碧桂园(02007.HK)股价涨1.9%,龙光(03380.HK)涨5.3%。摩根大通发表报告指,60-70%的内房发展商售楼处已重开,有一半的建筑工程亦已重启,目前仍面对劳工短缺的问题,但相信会逐步解决。预期销售会於4月回复正增长,加上有更多宽松政策,有助发展商解决再融资风险,不过地价回落幅度可能不如预期,特别是地方政府不会过度供应的情况下,以现价来说,发展商可维持20-25%毛利率。(wl/u)~
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.