《瑞銀窩輪》騰訊強勢巴巴落後 留意CALL騰訊19844、巴巴18434
隨著肺炎疫情在全球擴散,近年一直強勢的美股亦要追跌,而且過去2個交易日既急且大,以道指為例自前週見過29568點新高後一直受壓,本週跌勢轉急,週一(24日)及週五(25日)閃跌最多逾1900點。而追蹤科技股的納指亦於上週三9838點在1萬點前卻步,在美國亦有上巿的阿里巴巴(9988)表現與大巿同步回落,但反觀受惠在家娛樂概念的騰訊(0700)則非常強勢。
與恆指相比,現時指數回至26500點水平,略高於農曆年後26100點低位之上,當時阿里即時亦曾失守200港元關口,而今次阿里亦隨大巿再次回至200港元之上;反觀騰訊農曆年後低位曾見過370港元,但目前已回升至400港元並於高位徘徊,兩者短線強弱互見。阿里較弱主要因為即使網上購物仍然可行,但短線仍受物流活動所制約。但不少資金趁低位撈阿里CALL輪,週二便有2400萬港元流入,是最多CALL輪資金流入的資產。若作好倉部署可留意低街貨CALL輪18434,或牛證66990,若中線部署,可先考慮適合自的收回價的牛證,因為中線坐貨牛證無時間值損耗:
阿里認購18434,行使價226.19港元,20年5月到期,有效槓桿約11.倍。
阿里牛證66990,收回價190港元,20年11月到期,有效槓桿約11.倍。
另外ATM美團(3690)則進入橫行區,暫時於100港元「紅底」心理關口至50天線之間整固,若搏突破亦先考慮適合自的收回價的牛熊證,因為坐輪等突破會累積較多的時間值損耗:
美團牛證61696,收回價90港元,20年9月到期,有效槓桿約8.4倍。
美團熊證51534,收回價113港元,20年9月到期,有效槓桿約8.4倍。
騰訊較強勢,看好可留意CALL輪19844,行使價431.48港元,20年7月到期,有效槓桿約10倍。
筆者持有阿里巴巴
更多窩輪牛熊資訊:瑞銀證網站: www.ubs.com/hkwarrants
窩證教學及巿況焦點短片:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKw86qy4eBAInmd52MND45Q?view_as=subscriber
周國威
董事
瑞銀亞洲股票衍生產品銷售部
本產品並無抵押品。 如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。筆者為UBS AG的代表(作為證監會持牌人),並未持有相關上市公司的任何財務權益。本資料由瑞銀刊發,其並不構成買賣建議、邀請、要約或遊說。結構性產品價格可急升或急跌,投資者可能會蒙受全盤損失。過往表現並不反映將來表現。牛熊證備強制贖回機制而可能被提早終止,屆時 (i) N類牛熊證投資者將不獲發任何金額;而(ii) R類牛熊證之剩餘價值可能為零。投資前應瞭解有關風險,並諮詢專業顧問及查閱有關上市文件。UBS Securities Hong Kong Limited為結構性產品之流通量提供者,亦可能是唯一報價者或巿場參與者。(C) UBS 2020。版權所有。~
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