高盛策略师:勿忽视疫情风险 美股或面临调整
美股不断创新高,但高盛全球首席股票策略师Peter Oppenheimer表示,短期内疫情将会带来较大的风险,因股价未有反映疫情对企业盈利的影响,这表明股市出现调整的风险很高。
他续指,根据2013年SARS经验,股市调整通常都是暂时性的,但中国经济已较当时增长6倍,中国旅游业占全球国内生产总值的0.4%,而中国停工的日子更相当於整个美国两个月的非法定假期。
去年第四季,标准普尔500指数中最大的5只成份股Facebook、亚马逊、苹果、微软及Alphabet平均盈利皆高於市场预期的两成,较标普其他公司的4%为高,显示任何负面影响都可能令上述5间公司的盈利预测被下调。
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