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調查:中小企營商信心稍見好轉 零售業未見曙光
阿思達克 01-21 15:24

香港生產力促進局今日(21日)公布2020年度第一季「渣打香港中小企領先營商指數」調查顯示,中小企營商信心稍見好轉,最新一季的綜合營商指數由上季的31.4上升1.7至33.1,當中的五個分項指數均全線上升,顯示中小企踏入2020年的營商信心稍見好轉。

調查於去年12月中下旬進行,成功訪問了825家本港中小企。行業方面,製造業及進出口貿易及批發業分類指數按季上升,而零售業分類指數則輕微下跌1.8,至25.5。製造業分類指數(34.2)按季上升4.9,其分項指數均全線上升,其中環球經濟(19.3)分項指數的升幅較明顯,上升12.5,相信為中美貿易戰達成協議的正面影響;進出口及批發業指數為30.6,微升0.7。

生產力局署理總裁張梓昌稱,是次指數為自2019年第二季以來首次錄得上升,反映中小企的營商信心因近期中美貿易關係有所改善而漸見曙光。雖然未來一年本地及環球經濟仍存在各種不明朗因素,但從專題調查結果可見,大部分受訪企業正積極及迅速應對2020年營商挑戰。

渣打銀行(香港)大中華區高級經濟師劉健恆稱,今次調查結果明顯看到外圍不明朗因素有所改善,一如預期反映中美貿易談判取得突破性發展並達成「第一階段經貿協議」。環球經濟分項指數顯著反彈,而當中以製造業受訪者的增幅最大。相比之下,零售業售業分類指數較為令人失望,是所有行業分類指數中唯一錄得季度跌幅至歷史新低,顯示受訪中小企就本地社會事件持續及訪港遊客人數銳減的情況下,預期本地營商環境將面臨一段艱難時期。

整體而言,儘管中小企信心有所改善,綜合指數及大部分分項指數仍低於50,意味著經濟收縮的壓力於新一年開局時仍然顯著。這跟渣打早前預期香港本地生產總值至少在2020年上半年仍維持按年負增長的看法不謀而合。

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