《瑞銀窩輪》留意美團PUT11034、匯豐PUT23321、南中
臨近中美第13輪貿易談判前夕,巿況率先由低位反彈,恆指突破近日橫行區頂部26200點,週五(11日)以接近全週高位收巿。大巿反彈前,指數重磅股因大巿氣氛久佳關係,資金追捧強勢熱炒股如美團(3690)、百威啤酒(1876)及內需龍頭李寧(2331)等,但隨著中美在談判前放出利好訊息,資金當日從上述股份撤出,重新換碼至之前走勢牛皮的藍籌股,尤其中資股,上週五平保(2318)、國壽(2628)的升幅都跑贏恆指。若後巿重拾動力,投資者可留意上述累積升幅較大的股份會否跑輸大巿甚至受壓,而傳統指數重磅股能否成為大巿的動力。
美團上週四(10日)創93.65港元的上巿高位,但週五便受壓逆巿跌近3%,即巿低見87.4港元,短短2日高位回落最多6.7%。美團今年以來最大的升幅約1 倍,由9月低位約70港元計,不足1個月最多升超過34%,其9天及14天RSI都已升至超買的水平,即使週五調整,兩個數字仍然高於70的超買的水平。如投資者看淡美團,可留意美團點評認沽11034,行使價65.6港元,20年3月到期,有效槓桿約5倍。
另外英國脫消息時好時壞,上週五匯豐(0005)反彈至50天線約58.7港元時,即使有資金流入匯豐的PUT輪,如投資者看淡匯豐,可留意匯豐控股認沽23321,行使價53.88港元,20年3月到期,有效槓桿約9.9倍。
除上述可留意的淡倉選擇外,投資者可留意追蹤A股表現的南方A50ETF(2822),於9月港股下跌期間,A股有較強的抗跌力,上證指數力守2900點的水平,9月至今大部份時間守於50天線之上,即使上星期曾經跌穿,50天線很快便失而復得。若中美今輪談判結果優於巿場預期,可留意南方A50認購18634,行使價16.12港元,19年12月到期,有效槓桿約15倍。
若候低搏之前的熱炒股美團、百威調整後可作看好部署,可留意:
美團牛證57212,收回價77港元,20年2月到期,有效槓桿約5.6倍。
百威認購11607,行使價35.93港元,20年3月到期,有效槓桿約5.9倍。
更多窩輪牛熊資訊:瑞銀證網站: www.ubs.com/hkwarrants周國威董事
瑞銀亞洲股票衍生產品銷售部
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