思考樂教育(1769.HK):收購深圳核心物業作師訓中心,教培新鋭加速發展,給予買入評級,目標價12 港元
機構:天風證券
評級:買入
目標價:12 港元
5800 萬收購深圳 3536.1 平方物業用作綜合培訓中心。
9 月 24 日,公司公告,為加強吸引、培養和挽留優秀人才,集團計劃建立 綜合培訓中心以向高級管理層、教師和其他工作人員提供培訓課程。
目前公司已找到一個合適建立有關培訓中心的場所,於近日以現金人民幣 5800 萬元收購位於廣東省深圳市羅湖區的綜合樓物業,該物業包括深圳市 羅湖 區友誼路與江背路交匯處雲峯花園景峯閣裙樓 4 層,該物業為綜合用 途物業,總建築面積約為 3536.07 平方米(約合 1.64 萬/平),該物業目前 為空置。
我們認為收購該物業具有一定的積極意義
經營角度,教師綜合培訓中心為教培機構核心組成與重要部分,自有物業 有利於提高使用穩定性,降低租期租約等不確定性,同時該物業具備課室, 宿舍,教研,人力、招募人才,是配合快速發展、人才培養的戰略儲備。
財務層面,租賃物業改為自有物業表觀支出由租賃費用改為折舊攤銷,伴 隨攤銷年限增長攤銷金額有所降低,財務層面有利於中遠期降低費用率, 提高淨利率。對於或降低 ROE 等擔憂,教培行業作為輕資產服務型行業, 教學網點基本採用租賃物業形式,上市公司目前自有物業僅總部及沙井學 校物業,該物業收購對整體資產包影響有限。
其他方面,該物業收購性價比較高,位於深圳羅湖區核心地段,將作為公 司重要物業儲備;教育公司天然預收款屬性造就較好現金流,在保證正常 運轉基礎上可有效提升師資教研等方面實力。
公司競爭力主要表現在①深度綁定,企業文化滲透力強。②重服務,關注 學生反饋。③大灣區 234 線城市快速放量,增長可期。
維持盈利預測,給予買入評級
K12 培訓資產具備較大成長空間,思考樂坐享大灣區人口紅利,管理團隊 極富幹勁,合夥人制激勵到位,目前正處於快速成長階段,增長紅利快速 釋放市值彈性較大,我們預計 FY19-21 年淨利分別為 1.3/1.69/2.2 億,PE 分別為 29x/23x/17x。
風險提示:開點速度不及預期,招生不及預期
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