植耀辉: 油价急升拖累 美股连升断缆
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,受油价急升以及忧虑经济前景,隔晚美股三大指数均下跌,当中道指八连升後「断缆」,下跌142点或0.52%,收报27,076点。标普500指数及纳指则分别下跌0.31%及0.28%,收报2,997点及8,153点。
至於港股,受地缘政局因素,以及内地经济数据逊预期影响,港股昨日一度跌破27,000点,其後跌幅虽有所收窄,不过市场依然存在相当多不确定因素,因此笔者对後市看法仍审慎。特别要谈谈油价情况。受沙特阿美(Saudi Aramco)两处石油设施遭无人机攻击事件影响,国际油价大幅攀升,连带石油相关股份亦显着造好,中海油(00883)及中石油(00857)便分别上升7.4%及4.2%。
某程度上,基於当地石油供应之重要性(占全球每日供应量约6%),短期对油价确有利好作用;不过,如单纯以供应量而言,非油组国如美国及巴西等近年已大幅增产,美国更一度成为全球最大石油出口国;另沙持亦有充足石油储备应对。只是一旦美国作出军事介入,局势便会变得难以控制,油价亦可能会变成脱缰野马而飙升。恐怕油价短期将易升难跌。
笔者并未持有相关股份~
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