郭思治: 9月初旬之市勢仍偏弱 惟形態未現
帝(峰)證券及資產管理有限公司行政總裁郭思治稱,昨天(2日)大市先低開97點至25,627點,其後一直在反覆整固中拉鋸,上落於25,502點之間,技術上暫無太明顯之方向感,最後報收25,626點,較上日跌98點,全日總成交為678億元,由於大市祇是剛踏進9月份,故形態上仍未知是先高或是先低,但有一點可知的是,一日恆指仍反覆於20天線(25,835點)及10天線(25,874點)之下,整個大市仍處欲試底之中,而所指的底,暫該為8月15日之低位24,899點及今年1月3日之低位24,896點,此亦為今年之低位,亦即是說,一旦恆指跌穿24,896點,即表示今年大市之形態將扭轉成先高而後低,其時較具防守性之支持據點將退守至去年10月30日之低位24,540點。
騰訊(00700.HK)昨天表現硬淨,頗有單天保至尊之勢頭,以騰訊在恆指內之成份比重佔達10.3%計,股價之回勇當可為大市帶來回穩之效應,祇是其他藍籌仍然反覆帶軟,故大市之表現仍然偏弱,從走勢上看,9月上旬大市之表現相當關鍵,因祇要零碎沽壓續主導大局,本月大市可能又會再呈先高後低之弱態。
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