《瑞銀窩輪》騰訊、平保發力推動大市看好留意騰訊購20198、平保購21004
友邦保險(1299)上週五公布業績,新業務價值增長2成,中期息每股按年增14%,中港業務繼續成為友邦的推動力,消息公布後股價造好,升接近3%,經過上週五的急升,友邦保險已重上20天線。分別有大行發表報告預計未來3年友邦每年新業務價值會有兩成增長,以及友邦會繼續受惠於稅務條例改變的中國區。其實早在友邦公布業績前已有資金部署友邦的業績,由8月9日至8月22日的10個交易日內,友邦認購證累計約有3375萬港元資金淨流入,而同期認沽證累計亦約有556萬港元資金淨流入。如投資者看好友邦,可留意友邦保險認購22047,行使價82.87港元,19年11月到期,有效槓桿約12.倍。相反,如投資者看淡友邦,可留意友邦保險認沽23768,行使價72.83港元,19年12月到期,週一新上市。
另外上週五大市上升,除了受友邦所帶動外,亦得到重磅股騰訊(0700)以及平保(2318)的支持。騰訊上週五最高見336港元,上升超過1.5%,平保挑戰92港元水平,上升1.8%。雖然上週五上升,不過騰訊8月份仍累計跌近一成,所以資金不斷留意騰計購證,由8月1日至8月22日的16個交易日內,騰訊認購證累計約有2億1267萬港元資金淨流入,反映投資者或看好騰訊的走勢。如投資者看好騰訊,可留意騰訊控股認購20198,行使價350.2港元,19年11月到期,有效槓桿約10.倍。相反,如投資者看淡騰訊,可留意騰訊控股認沽23438,行使價314.8港元,19年11月到期,有效槓桿約9.2倍。而平保走勢相對較好,幾乎已修復8月以來的跌幅,更重上100天線之上,而且平保的業績好過市場預期,支持股價近日走強。如投資者看好平安,可留意中國平安認購21004,行使價98.93港元,19年10月到期,有效槓桿約17.倍。如投資者看淡平安,可留意中國平安認沽12554,行使價84.43港元,20年1月到期,有效槓桿約8.0倍。
更多窩輪牛熊資訊:瑞銀證網站: www.ubs.com/hkwarrants卓素華董事
瑞銀亞洲股票衍生產品銷售部
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