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《即日市評》港股反覆上落內房及藥股跑出
阿思達克 08-21 17:03

港股今日先跌後回升。市場關注中美貿易談判發展,美國總統特朗普表示即使中美貿易戰短期損害美國經濟,但指亦要在貿易上與中國對抗,他又重申美國遠離經濟衰退;而國家外交部發言人回應特朗普「應對中國」說法,指中美合則兩利、鬥則俱傷。投資者亦觀望稍後在美國召開的全球央行年會(Jackson Hole)。今早人民幣中間價上調21點報7.0433兌一美元,錄自2008年3月下旬以來逾十一年低位回升,上證綜指微升0.01%收2,880,滬深兩市成交額降至4,545億人民幣。

恆指今日反覆上升38點或0.2%,收26,270;國指升44點或0.4%,收10,177;大市成交額750.94億元。滬、深港通南下交易半日淨流入金額分別為20.88億及9.27億元人民幣。騰訊(00700.HK)股價下滑0.2%,而友邦(01299.HK)則微升0.1%。

【煤氣挫半成 小米受沽壓】

煤氣(00003.HK)股價下滑5.3%收16.2元,成跌幅最大的藍籌股。花旗發表報告指,煤氣盈利質素可能已被市場高估,上半年業績遜預期,有關表現不足以支撐如此高的估值。該行下調煤氣2019至2021年盈利預測9.7%至11.4%,而目標價亦由13.64元降至13.5元,以反映三大業務利潤下降,重申「沽售」評級。該行指,於香港公用股板塊中,首選是中電(00002.HK),因其利潤具防守性及較低市盈率。

該行表示,公司預期由於天氣及社會動盪影響下半年香港銷量下降;內地城市燃氣之利潤亦收窄,主因燃氣價格上調計劃延後;而商品價格暴跌拖累集團新興環保能源業務之利潤下跌。

小米(01810.HK)全日股價下挫近5%收8.96元,市場關注其第二季收入表現遜預期,未來智能手機業務持續面臨挑戰。瑞信發表報告表示,小米第二季收入錄520億人民幣符預期,但營運溢利錄23億人民幣則遜預期,經調整純利錄36億人民幣,優於該行及市場預期各27.1%及29.3%,主要因投資按公平值變動所致。該行認為小米未來會面對智能手機行業競爭劇烈的挑戰持續,維持其「中性」評級及目標價10.2元,此相當預測2020年非通用會計準則市盈率20倍。

【醫藥股造好 內房股舞高】

港股今日市寬變動不大,主板股票的升跌比率為21比22(上日為22比20);但恆指成份股今日29隻股份上升,下跌股份18隻,升跌比率為58比36(上日為42比56)。大市今日錄沽空124.8億元,佔可沽空股份成交金額597.23億元的20.897%(上日20.292%)。

國家醫保局發布常規準入藥品名單,新增148個品種,醫藥股中生製業(01177.HK)及石藥集團(01093.HK)各升3.6%及3.5%。摩根大通報告指石藥股價於公布業績後上升,相信是因為其長遠增長的可見性,以及公司指有更豐富的產品線推出、政策轉變帶動新的增長、臨床表現鼓舞和銷售網絡擴張,雖然政府公布新的藥物名冊或對恩必普(NBP)帶來擔憂,但相信影響有限,預期今年整體盈利增長為25%,2020至2021年為27%

內房股有支持,雅居樂(03383.HK)抽高5.6%、綠城中國(03900.HK)漲6.9%、華潤置地(01109.HK)股價上揚4.5%。瑞信指華潤置地上半年核心盈利按年增長11%,公司今年首七個月的合同銷售額增長14%,佔全年銷售目標54%。公司管理層對於達成2019年的銷售目標感到有信心,整體可售資源達4,390億元。期內,租賃收入按年增長35%,主要是受到新開幕的商場所帶動,管理層預期全年的租賃收入增長將超過30%,並預期在2020至2021財年維持在10至20%,維持「跑贏大市」投資評級,目標價由原來的44.4元上調至45.8元。

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