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《瑞通窩輪》瑞通認股證牛熊證恆指彈400點重返兩萬六重磅股匯控、騰訊齊升2%恆指牛53353熊53221/騰訊購19176沽19175/匯豐購22653沽22469
阿思達克 08-19 10:29

美國剔除部分中國貨須於9月加徵10%關稅,加上市場消化美國國債孳息率短暫「倒掛」利淡消息,道指上周五上升306點(或1.2%),至25886點。不過總結全周,道指仍連跌三周。

恆指上周五收報25734點,升238點(或0.9%),連升三日,但全周計下跌。港股連跌四周,累挫逾一成。承接美股升勢,恆指今早再升約400點,重返26100點之上,技術上收復10天線(約25775點)。恆指好倉(牛證及認購權證)上周五淨流出逾8000萬港元(下同),恆指淡倉(熊證及認沽權證)同日淨流入逾7100萬元,反映投資者看淡港股後市續弱。上周五恆指牛證街貨重貨區為收回價24800至24899點,而熊證街貨重貨區為收回價25880至25899點。

美國、英國上周先後出現債息倒掛,引發投資者對經濟前景的憂慮,加上匯控(00005)近日接連有高層離任,拖累其股價月內累挫一成,曾低見55.8元的近三年低位,14日RSI處極度超賣水平,主要移動平均線亦向下走。股份上周五跌勢稍見喘定,力守56元,今早反彈近2%,重返57.5元附近。集團持續回購股份,以及現水平股息率約七厘,或令股價在低位獲承接。上周五有近420萬元淨流入其好倉,淡倉同日則有逾120萬元淨流出。

騰訊(00700)公布中期業績後被多間大行下調目標價,上周五逆市跌逾1%。不過,股份今早回升超過2%,曾迫近335元水平,即市反彈阻力觀察250天線(335.8元) 及10天線(336.1元),支持則可參考日前低位325.8元。上周五有逾3100萬元淨流入其好倉,淡倉同日則有逾2200萬元淨流出。

華府早前對華為給予90天的禁令寬限期,今日(19日)屆滿,5G相關股上周捱沽。中國鐵塔(00788)上周四及五均為北水沽出最多的個股,分別淨流出超過1.4億元和7500萬元,鐵塔股價已連跌4個交易日,累挫6.2%。其後有報道傳華為禁令寬限期將獲延長,鐵塔今早反彈逾2%,重返1.8元之上,約1.9元的10天線為首個上望目標。上周五分別有215萬元和4萬元淨流入其好倉和淡倉。

早前累跌甚深的地產股連日反彈。長實(01113)上周五急升4%,盤中高位曾升穿54元,今早曾再升逾2%,高見55元水平,其後升幅稍為收窄。另集團近日就大埔鳳園一幅綜合用地,向城規會申請改劃住宅發展,將提供約1462個住宅單位。上周五有18萬元淨流出其好倉,淡倉同日則有26萬元淨流入。

瑞通相關認股證之選擇:

匯豐輕微價外、中年期購22653,行使價:60.8元,2020年3月到期,實際槓桿:10.3倍

匯豐貼價、中年期沽22469,行使價:55元,2020年3月到期,實際槓桿:6.9倍

騰訊貼價、中短期購19176,行使價:346元,2019年11月到期,實際槓桿:9.8倍

騰訊貼價、中短期沽19175,行使價:314.8元,2019年11月到期,實際槓桿:8.5倍

鐵塔輕微價外、中短期購29681,行使價:2元,2019年11月到期,實際槓桿:7.9倍

長實輕微價外、中年期購22479,行使價:60.28元,2020年4月到期,實際槓桿:6.8倍

友邦貼價、短期購19276,行使價:79.93元,2019年10月到期,實際槓桿:13.1倍

友邦輕微價外、中短期沽21926,行使價:72.83元,2019年12月到期,實際槓桿:8倍

新地輕微價外、中短期購20140,行使價:129.8元,2020年1月到期,實際槓桿:11.5倍

新地輕微價外、中年期沽22467,行使價:105元,2020年3月到期,實際槓桿:6.5倍

舜光價外、中短期購12455,行使價:128.8元,2019年12月到期,實際槓桿:7.9倍

瑞通相關牛熊證之選擇:

恆指牛證53353,收回價:25310點,槓桿比率:29.7倍

恆指熊證53221,收回價:26590點,槓桿比率:32.2倍

騰訊牛證64245,收回價:316.5元,槓桿比率:15.8倍

騰訊熊證53356,收回價:345.5元,槓桿比率:19.7倍重要風險通知

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