创梦天地(1119.HK)精品内容+优质服务背靠腾讯打造线上线下互动娱乐生态圈给予“推荐”评级
机构:新时代证券
评级:推荐
中国独立手游发行龙头,平台月活用户超1亿,持续贡献现金流
公司是中国最大的独立手游发行平台,主营游戏经营与研发、游戏社交、数字娱乐服务线下体验店、广告及其他信息服务等业务。公司有着强大的游戏运营能力和专业的研发团队,能获取游戏源代码,擅长精细化运营,发行的游戏用户量大、生命周期长,先后在海内外发行了《水果忍者》、《愤怒的小鸟》、《神庙逃亡》系列、《地铁跑酷》、《纪念碑谷》、《梦幻花园》等众多全球知名休闲手游。2018年公司平均月活跃用户达1.29亿,同比增长5.7%。公司以发行起家的业务能力,奠定了未来围绕游戏多元化综合发展的基础。
从发行优质内容,到加强自研推出精品游戏,不断强化业务闭环
公司不仅在线运营59款游戏,还从IP端涉足动漫、电视剧及互动阅读等多个数字内容。公司自研的《魔力宝贝》移动版首月流水破2亿,并推出了《梦幻花园》和《梦幻家园》等精品游戏,公司版号审批开发以来已获批10余款类型丰富的游戏版号。依托创梦飞轮,公司形成了一个闭合式的增长:通过提供优质的内容来吸引用户,再依靠庞大的用户群和强大的游戏运营能力,实现商业化变现,同时不断获取优质内容,从而确保公司的持续性成长。
深化腾讯生态合作,打造线上+线下数字互动娱乐平台,未来可期
腾讯目前是公司的第一大机构股东,持股18.59%,仅次于实控人,且与公司在内容、技术和商业化均建立了紧密合作;同时也获得索尼投资,后期合作可期。目前,公司积极布局线下娱乐店,获得腾讯视频独家授权,围绕游戏电竞等线下场景娱乐,探索用户服务模式。公司已经拥有2家直营店及14家合作店,并计划于2020年全面铺开。我们预计中国线下娱乐市场将在2022年达到4008亿元,公司打造线上+线下游戏娱乐平台,未来可期。
看好公司腾讯生态,研运发行能力,线下场景价值,给予“推荐”评级
看好公司深入腾讯生态的潜力,研运发行的一体化能力,未来线下店的发展前景。预计公司2019年-2020年归母净利润分别为5.51亿元、6.74亿元、8.36亿元,当前股价对应2019年-2020年PE分别为11倍、9倍、7倍。首次覆盖,给予“推荐”评级。
风险提示:行业政策趋严风险;市场竞争加剧的风险;产品延期风险;游戏流水不及预期风险;海外市场风险等。
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