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《瑞通窝轮》瑞通认股证牛熊证恒指逐步上试10天线友邦低开2%後跌幅大收窄恒指牛50343N熊50949/友邦购18389沽18344/港交购16656沽16662
阿思达克 07-23 10:57

据报美国白宫官员隔晚与一些科技企业代表会晤,讨论华为禁令。另重磅美企陆续公布业绩,道指隔晚收报27171点,升17点。

本港政治争拗越演越烈,港股昨尾市跌势转急,收报28371点,跌394点(或1.4%),今早继续窄幅偏软,曾下试28300点水平,其後倒升,逐步上试10天线(约28495点)。恒指好仓(牛证及认购权证)昨净流入逾1.2亿港元(下同);恒指淡仓(熊证及认沽权证)同日净流出逾1.2亿元,反映较多投资者看好技术性反弹将至。昨日恒指牛证街货重货区为收回价28000至28099点,而熊证街货重货区为收回价29000至29099点。

友邦(01299)低开近2%後曾低见85.3元,其後跌幅大为收窄,於87元之下徘徊。上周三至五,友邦连升3个交易日,高见88.5元的历史新高位置,昨日回吐1.5%,今早偏软。技术上,友邦目前企稳多条移动平均线之上,昨今两日调整,可以视为正常技术调整,9天RSI由上周五的76,回落至目前的62,整体技术强势未变。昨日友邦好仓净流入逾500万元,而其淡仓净流出超过110万元。

内地科创板正式在上海交易,有分析认为长远或会瓜分原本来港上市的大型IPO,加上港股投资气氛转差,港交所(00388)昨跌近2.5%收市,收报266.6元,连失10天和100天线,并创一个月低。股份今早好淡争持,力守266元,後市留意会否考验50天线(262.5元)支持,反弹阻力先看270元。港交所昨录4.46亿元沽空金额,沽空比率27%。不过昨有超过8700万元北水净流入该股。轮证资金流方面,昨有逾350万元净流入其好仓,淡仓同日则录60万元净流出。

香港零售管理协会维持今年零售业营业额双位数跌幅的预期,而该协会多数会员指出在过去一个月内公司的销售额都出现下滑。另外,美国联储局今月减息半厘的憧憬降温,拖累本地地产收租股昨显着受压。新世界发展(00017)昨一举跌穿10天、20天和50天线,下跌2.4%收市,盘中低位曾见12.04元。今早股份靠稳,一度重返约12.19元的50天线附近。昨有6万元净流入其好仓。

有券商发表研究报告预期,中国保险行业的中期利润将按年大增70%,并看好中国人寿(02628)的寿险新业务价值将有20%增长,大幅领先同业。不过A股走弱,国寿昨亦要调整近2%,收报20.35元。股份今早续於此水平窄幅上落,续守於10天线之上。昨有70万元净流出其好仓,淡仓同日则录12万元净流入。

中国铁塔(00788)昨遭1亿元北水沽出,股价收跌近2%於2.06元。今早股价续於此水平附近上落,现时10天和20天线处2.1元水平,料成股份短线反弹阻力,下方2元关口支持不宜有失。昨分别有182万元和5万元净流入其好仓和淡仓。

瑞通相关界内证之选择:

恒指界内证47075,下限价:26800点,上限价:28300点

恒指界内证47076,下限价:28500点,上限价:31000点

腾讯界内证47055,下限价:368.8元,上限价:422.8元

腾讯界内证47059,下限价:288.8元,上限价:342.8元

瑞通相关认股证之选择:

友邦轻微价外、中短期购18389,行使价:100元,2019年12月到期,实际杠杆:10.3倍

友邦轻微价外、中短期沽18344,行使价:80元,2019年11月到期,实际杠杆:10.2倍

港交贴价、中短期购16656,行使价:278元,2019年10月到期,实际杠杆:12.2倍

港交轻微价外、中短期沽16662,行使价:255元,2019年11月到期,实际杠杆:11.2倍

新发贴价、中短期购15453,行使价:12.4元,2019年12月到期,实际杠杆:7.8倍

国寿轻微价外、中短期购17504,行使价:21.6元,2019年11月到期,实际杠杆:10.5倍

国寿价内、中短期沽21280,行使价:20.5元,2019年12月到期,实际杠杆:5.6倍

铁塔轻微价外、短期购29653,行使价:2.18元,2019年9月到期,实际杠杆:9.1倍

港铁轻微价外、中年期购20544,行使价:56.88元,2020年2月到期,实际杠杆:9.3倍

新地轻微价外、中年期购20643,行使价:143.8元,2020年1月到期,实际杠杆:9.4倍

新地贴价、中短期沽16143,行使价:126.8元,2019年11月到期,实际杠杆:10.9倍

瑞通相关牛熊证之选择:

恒指牛证50343,收回价:27910点,杠杆比率:42倍

恒指N类熊证50949,收回价及行使价:28980点,杠杆比率:44倍

友邦牛证50344,收回价:80.1元,杠杆比率:10.3倍

友邦熊证67446,收回价:89.9元,杠杆比率:18.8倍

腾讯牛证69274,收回价:346.1元,杠杆比率:19.7倍

腾讯熊证50427,收回价:375.3元,杠杆比率:18.2倍重要风险通知

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