植耀辉:观望鲍威尔讲话车股维持看淡部署
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,美股隔晚(8日)反覆偏软,市场对降息预期降温,加上摩根士丹利发表研究报告,看淡环球股市,并将评级下调至「减持」,利淡投资气氛。最终道指下跌115点或0.43%,收报26,806点,标普500指数及纳指则分别下跌0.48%及0.78%,收报2,975点及8,098点。
港股昨日出现显着下跌,最大原因不外乎是受到A股下跌拖累。A股短期市况仍不乐观,皆因本周内地将迎来「打新」密集期,多间科创板企业将进行申购,预计会继续困扰A股行程。外围方面,中美贸易新一轮谈判进展如何,联储局主席鲍威尔出席听证会有何重要启示,对市况亦会有大影响。预期市况仍会相当反覆。不过现阶段将继续於28,000至29,000点水平拉锯。
最後亦要谈谈车股吉利(00175.HK)。吉利昨日收市後发盈警,预期上半年盈利倒退四成,并下调全年151万架销售目标一成至136万架。消息恐怕会对今日股价带来压力。笔者一直以来看淡车股,故对今次吉利盈警并不太意外,亦反映在经销商面对库存问题以及「国六」排放标准於7月1日正式实施,以及车企之间竞争持续加剧和经济前景不明下,下半年销售状况仍将面对相当多挑战。笔者相信有关情况在第三季仍会持续,第四季则视乎国家扶持政策方向。基於以上情况,笔者重申仍不建议吸纳车股博反弹。
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