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6月以来北上资金净流入近300亿元布局食品饮料和银行两大行业
格隆汇 06-15 10:17
作者: 张颖
来源: 证券日报之声

2881.97点,昨日上证指数最终以0.99%的跌幅收盘。本周以来,上证指数累计涨幅达1.92%,然而月内其累计跌幅为0.58%。在大盘围绕2900点上下震荡中,一直被市场称为“聪明资金”的北上资金则开启了买买买模式,成为A股市场重要的力量之一。

《证券日报》记者根据同花顺iFinD数据统计,6月份以来的9个交易日中,北上资金合计净流入296.02亿元。其中,沪股通合计净流入达229.36亿元,深股通合计净流入达66.66亿元,持续8日呈现净流入态势,仅在本周五小幅流出2.89亿元。

从2019年北上资金对市场的影响来看,今年1月份、2月份,北上资金买入力度最大,净买入金额均超600亿元,之后3月份降至不足50亿元,在连续3个月北上资金涌入的同时,A股也开启了一波短暂的小牛市,一季度上证指数累计涨幅达23.93%。随后,4月份北上资金开始呈现流出态势,5月份降至冰点,净卖出金额536.74亿元,同期,5月份上证指数累计跌幅达5.84%。而从6月份开始,北上资金态度开始转向积极。

对此,有分析人士表示,如果说北上资金的买入是导致年初指数反弹的原因,那么从4月份开始,这部分资金的流出,持续到5月底,相对应的A股指数开始近两个月的下跌,就显得不谋而合了。当然,下跌的原因必然有其他因素,但单从两者的关联程度来看,不得不佩服北上资金的“聪明”。

从近期看,北上资金转为净流入,对A股而言意味着抛压减轻。中信证券表示,上周北上资金净买入96亿元,不仅结束了连续4周净卖出,还创出了3个月以来单周净买入的新高。一方面,流动性宽松预期升温带来了海外资金风险偏好的改善;另一方面,市场经过充分调整后,外资对于市场当前估值的认可度也在提升。

北上资金整体动向不但受到市场各方关注,其对个股的具体投资布局也同样成为焦点。

从北上资金净买入金额看,6月份以来共有27只个股期间呈现北上资金净流入态势,合计净流入117.3亿元。其中,贵州茅台、中国平安、招商银行、海螺水泥、中兴通讯、兴业银行6只个股在此期间均获得逾6亿元北上资金抢筹,贵州茅台以28.68亿元净流入额位居榜首。另外,万科A、五粮液、伊利股份、温氏股份、平安银行、大秦铁路、洋河股份、北京银行、保利地产、三一重工、中信证券、海天味业、民生银行等13只个股,6月份以来获北上资金累计净买入均逾1亿元。

从行业分布来看,上述月内获得北上资金青睐的27只个股主要扎堆在食品饮料和银行两大行业。

进一步统计发现,一季度北上资金加仓配置的医药生物行业,则成为其6月份主要减持的对象。6月份以来,恒瑞医药累计净流出8.15亿元,位居北上资金减持首位。

对于食品饮料行业的投资机会,渤海证券指出,本周食品饮料板块结束调整趋势,重新获得北上资金关注,龙头个股泸州老窖、伊利股份、海天味业、青岛啤酒均呈现净买入态势。短期来看,目前处于行业淡季,白酒企业大多选择淡季调整价格、梳理渠道,从实际情况看,目前量少价挺,国庆、中秋前后或会有预期差出现。长期来看,白酒,尤其是高端白酒目前仍然是食品饮料行业当中确定性较强的板块,在风险偏好相对较低的风格影响下,仍建议逢低配置确定性较高的高端白酒。

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