澳优(1717.HK)益生菌再下一城黄金十年发展规划稳步推进维持“买入”评级
机构:国金证券
评级:买入
目标价:无
事件简述
澳优于 6 月 6 日发布公告称,公司通过旗下全资附属公司澳优投资与 Genlac Biotech International Corporation(简称“GLAC”)签订可换股 债券认购协议,有条件同意认购 GLAC 3000 万美元(约 2.34 亿港元)的可 换股债券。如果这部分可换股债券全部用于转换股份,则可转换每股 1.0 美元的股份 3000 万股,届时澳优将拥有 GLAC 注资完成后 26.1%的股份。
事件点评
细分市场谋求突破,澳优投资丰华生技,益生菌再下一城。GLAC 是一家为 进行提呈要约及建议私有化成立的特定目的投资机构, 6 月 6 日,澳优第 二大股东晟德大药厂及其他权益人与 GLAC 签订注资协议,拟向 GLAC 的股 本注入 8500 万美元。根据晟德大药厂公告的私有化建议,预计此次 GLAC 筹集的资金将主要用于私有化丰华生物科技股份有限公司(台湾企业,主 要从事益生菌及发酵相关应用产品的研究及开发、制造及销售), 若私有化 及认购事宜完成后,澳优将通过 GLAC 间接拥有丰华生技 26.1%的股份。
益生菌补充剂行业仍处蓝海,未来发展潜力巨大。近些年,具有改善胃肠 道、增强免疫力等功效的益生菌产品,逐渐成为人们追求饮食健康的“新 宠”。据欧睿数据显示,在全球益生菌产业蓬勃发展大背景下,中国的益生 菌市场发展速度也极快,平均每年增速约 15%,预计 2022 年将增长到 896 亿元。作为营养保健品的一大细分品类,益生菌补充剂发展潜力巨大。
黄金十年规划稳步推进,益生菌布局稳扎稳打,有望与澳优自身形成良好 协同优势。丰华生技已形成了良好的研发、菌粉生产、成品生产基础,澳 优可借助其强大的研究和开发能力,打好益生菌基础,有助于细分品类深 入布局;另一方面,澳优在中国大陆以及全球的研发、市场能力,也可以 更好地为丰华生技的发展赋能,而此次携手相互产生的协同效应,也将促 进两家公司的业绩增长,为股东、合作伙伴创造更大价值。
盈利预测 预计公司 19-21 年收入分别为 73.9 亿元/100.1 亿元/128.0 亿元,同比增 长 37.1%/35.5%/27.9%,归母净利润分别为 8.5 亿元/11.3 亿元/15.1 亿 元,同比增长 33.5%/33.7%/32.9%。EPS 分别为 0.53 元/0.71 元/0.94 元, 对应 PE 为 25X/18X/14X,维持“买入”评级。
风险提示 需求下滑/产能过剩/行业竞争加剧/食品安全问题。

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