ZHENYU TECHNOLOGY(300953):DOWNSTREAM CLIENTS EXPAND PRODUCTION CAPACITY;MARKET SHARE TO INCREASE
What's newOn June 21, Zhenyu Technology’s major client Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) announced that it plans to build a new energy vehicle (NEV) battery production base in Jining, Shandong province to further develop its businesses and meet market demand. It intends to invest no more than Rmb14.0bn in the production lines of electric vehicle (EV) battery systems and energy-storage systems within 2 years.CommentsCATL garners more global clients and keeps expanding its production capacity. On July 21, CATL announced the signing of a memorandum of understanding on cooperation with Ford, indicating the beginning of their strategic cooperation. The two companies will cooperate to provide EV batteries in China, Europe, and North America. Meanwhile, CATL will provide lithium iron phosphate battery packs based on CTP (cell to pack) technology to Ford’s two electric vehicle models (Mustang Mach-E, since 2023; and F-150 Lightning, since 2024). On the same day, international media reported that Hyundai Motor intends to use CATL-made batteries in all of its vehicle models and it is negotiating the matter with CATL. In terms of supply, CATL announced on July 21 that it will invest no more than Rmb14.0bn in building a NEV battery production base in Jining. We believe that CATL will further increase its presence in the global EV battery market by deepening cooperation with global clients and accelerating capacity expansion.Market share of LiB structural parts business likely to further increase thanks to rising demand from CATL. The firm has built close ties with CATL in terms of LiB structural parts. Meanwhile, it has been increasing its supply to CATL backed by excellent product quality and competitive prices. The order contribution from CATL rose to about 45% in 1Q22. Considering that the firm is a major LiB structural parts supplier to CATL, we expect its business scale to expand with CATL’s EV battery shipment growing. This, combined with a stronger market presence, will likely unleash economies of scale moving forward, in our view.High sales growth of large client BYD boosts expansion of motor core business. We estimate Zhenyu provided nearly 70% of BYD’s motor cores in 2021 as its main supplier of motor cores. According to BYD, its alternative fuel passenger vehicle sales reached 134,036 units in June, increasing 162.7% YoY and 17.39% QoQ. In 1H22, BYD’s vehicle sales surged 314.9% YoY to 641,350 units.Financials and valuationWe leave our 2022 and 2023 earnings forecasts unchanged. The stock is trading at 33.6x 2022e and 19.1x 2023e P/E. We maintain an OUTPERFORM rating and our TP of Rmb180, implying 42.9x 2022e and 24.4x 2023e P/E, offering 27.8% upside.RisksRaw material prices increase; disappointing expansion of LiB structural parts and motor core businesses.
關注uSMART

重要提示及免責聲明
盈立證券有限公司(「盈立」)在撰冩這篇文章時是基於盈立的內部研究和公開第三方信息來源。儘管盈立在準備這篇文章時已經盡力確保內容為準確,但盈立不保證文章信息的準確性、及時性或完整性,並對本文中的任何觀點不承擔責任。觀點、預測和估計反映了盈立在文章發佈日期的評估,並可能發生變化。盈立無義務通知您或任何人有關任何此類變化。您必須對本文中涉及的任何事項做出獨立分析及判斷。盈立及盈立的董事、高級人員、僱員或代理人將不對任何人因依賴本文中的任何陳述或文章內容中的任何遺漏而遭受的任何損失或損害承擔責任。文章內容只供參考,並不構成任何證券、虛擬資產、金融產品或工具的要約、招攬、建議、意見或保證。監管機構可能會限制與虛擬資產相關的交易所買賣基金僅限符合特定資格要求的投資者進行交易。文章內容當中任何計算部分/圖片僅作舉例說明用途。
投資涉及風險,證券的價值和收益可能會上升或下降。往績數字並非預測未來表現的指標。請審慎考慮個人風險承受能力,如有需要請諮詢獨立專業意見。