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下週看點:關注美國9月通脹數據 美股Q3財報季拉開帷幕
uSMART盈立智投 10-09 16:26

由於週五的美國9月非農報告超出預期,市場恐慌情緒再度被點燃,美股三大指數當天均大跌超2%。得益於週一和週二的亮眼表現,美股市場本週依舊錄得上漲。

下週,美國、歐元區和英國都將公佈一系列宏觀經濟數據。由於最近幾周英國主導了市場動盪,外匯和英國國債市場將密切關注英國政府的動向。儘管英國財政大臣克沃滕週一表示,將放棄此前提出的激進減稅計劃,但該國首相特拉斯週三強調,減稅“在道德和經濟層面上都是正確的做法”。

英國下週將公佈失業、工業以及國內生產總值(GDP)數據,市場預計,英國三季度GDP將再次出現萎縮。

歐元區觀察人士將密切關注工業生產和德國通脹數據,後者數據預計將達到70年來的高點,呈現出滯漲風險不斷上升的局面。

9月非農數據公佈後,美聯儲11月加息75個基點的概率進一步增加,下週四公佈的美國9月通脹數據是重頭戲,這份報告對美聯儲是否繼續強硬加息有着重要影響,而同一天公佈的美聯儲9月會議紀要也將爲央行加息路徑提供更多線索。

美股三季度財報季將於下週拉開帷幕,率先登場的是飲料巨頭百事可樂,該公司將於美東時間週三盤前公佈業績。依照慣例,銀行股是公佈季報的“先頭部隊”。摩根大通、摩根士丹利和富國銀行都將於週五盤前披露業績。

下週重要事件概覽:

週一(10月10日):諾貝爾經濟學獎公佈、歐元區10月Sentix投資者信心指數、美國9月諮商會就業趨勢指數

週二(10月11日):日本8月貿易帳、英國9月失業率、美國9月NFIB小型企業信心指數、歐盟舉行能源部長非正式會議

週三(10月12日):英國8月製造業產出月率/季調後商品貿易帳/三個月GDP月率/工業產出月率、歐元區8月工業產出月率、美國9月PPI月率、歐佩克公佈月度原油市場報告

週四(10月13日):德國9月CPI月率終值、德國8月未季調經常帳、美國9月CPI數據、美聯儲FOMC公佈9月貨幣政策會議紀要

週五(10月14日):法國9月CPI數據、歐元區8月季調後貿易帳、美國9月零售銷售月率、美國9月進口物價指數月率、美國8月商業庫存月率、美國10月密歇根大學消費者信心指數初值

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