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一文綜合大行對招行(03968.HK)公佈季績後最新評級、目標價及觀點
招商銀行(03968.HK)今早股價靠穩,上週五(22日)收市後公佈今年第三季度業績,純利按年上升21%至324.65億元人民幣,營業淨收入按年升13%至826.55億元人民幣。期內淨利差按季跌1個基點至2.37%,淨利息收益率按季升1個基點至2.47%,主要因高收益信用卡貸款增長較快,加上準備金率下調因素影響。 招行截至9月底止不良貸款餘額513.02億元人民幣,較上年末減少23.13億元;不良貸款率0.93%,較上年末下降0.14個百分點;撥備覆蓋率443.14%,較上年末上升5.46個百分點;貸款撥備率4.13%,較上年末下降0.54個百分點。受部分房地產企業信用風險暴露影響,截至9月底對公房地產不良貸款率爲1.29%,較上年末上升1.06個百分點。 【盈利增長略佳 財管成效顯着】 中金指,招行今年第三季業績小幅高於預期,主要源於用成本節約等因素,指其首三季財富管理手續費收入按年升25.8%,帶動淨手績費收入增長近20%。第三季招行大衆、金葵花及私行客戶分別按年增長9%,18%及22%,各項資產管理產品代銷收入保持高速增長。首三季代理基金、保險,信託及理財產品收入分別按年增長25%、38%、5%及42%,預計招行代銷資產管理產品種類將持續豐富,代銷收入有望保持較快增速。另外,招行主動披露房地產風險,高信用評級客戶額佔比達86.7%,中金認爲招行整體資產質量可控。該行予招行「跑贏行業」評級,目標價90.59元。 美銀證券指,招行第三季淨利息收入按季升3%,增量相對較小,資產總值及存款分別按季升0.4%及0.5%,按年則分別增長9.3%至9.4%,信貸按季增長2.2%,但按年增長由上半年的11%降至首三季的9.9%。零售貸款按季升2.9%,但企業貨款大致持平,貸存比率按季升1.5個百分點至91.5%。該行維持招行「跑輸大市」評級,目標價40元。 花旗指,招行淨利息收益率及資本充足率爲季績亮點。其中淨利息收益率按季升1基點至2.47%,受惠於銀行同業拆息上升及債券融資成本下降,抵銷信貸息率下跌及存款成本上升的影響。資本充足率方面,招行核心一級資本充足率、一級資本充足率及資本充足率分別按季升42、39及35個基點,至分別12.31%、13.86%及16.36%,受益於盈利復甦及緩慢的風險加權資產增長。但該行關注招行貸存比率上升及資產質素。該行給予招行「買入」評級,目標價74.02元。 ------------------------------------------ 本網最新綜10間券商對其投資評級及目標價: 券商│投資評級│目標價((港元) 中金│跑贏行業│90.59元 摩根大通│增持│85元 高盛│買入│80.43元 摩根士丹利│增持│80.3元 瑞信│跑贏大市│78元 瑞銀│買入│74.3元 花旗│買入│74.02元 傑富瑞│持有│62.72元 匯豐環球研究│持有│588元 美銀證券│跑輸大市│40元 券商│觀點 中金公司│業績小幅高於預期,財富戰略成效顯着 摩根大通│收入勝預期,但信貸增長及資產質素亮紅燈 高盛│淨利息收益率反彈,非貸款撥備爲焦點 摩根士丹利│業績穩固,財富業務市佔進一步增長 瑞信│業績穩固、穩定及突出 瑞銀│季績穩固,受收入強勁增長及成本效益推動 花旗│撥備前經營溢利及稅後盈利強勁,淨利息收益率及資本充足率爲亮點 傑富瑞│業績一貫強勁 匯豐環球研究│經營狀況穩健,信貸損失撥備幹擾盈利表現 美銀證券│財富管理部門業務見轉弱跡象
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