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盈選報告 | 後市預計短期將維持震盪,關注芯片、醫藥板塊

市場策略

▍國金策略團隊發文表示

1、近期國內針對課外輔導等行業的限制政策以及反壟斷等政策引發了外資對中國市場的擔心,特別是中概股和港股上市內地公司明顯被拋售。其中相關被動基金明顯被贖回,主動基金也明顯減倉;2、出於政策風險的擔心,部分外資確實存在減配A股的情況,但這更多的是集中在對A股不瞭解的機構(比如有些沒有會講中文的外資機構),但對A股比較熟悉的外資只是階段性規避潛在政策風險較大的行業,對順應政策導向的行業仍是持續關注。3、今日市場傳言美國外資稱有可能會限制美國基金流入A股和港股。我們確認這是一則假消息。正如我們昨晚對話EPFR的電話會議,我們認爲外資短期大進大出的可能性不大,長期分批次流入A股的趨勢穩定。

▍招商基金稱,展望後市,在連續兩天下跌後,後續市場下跌動能將趨緩,後市預計短期將維持震盪,但由於流動性和風險偏好短期受到壓制,結構仍將重於指數。

▍花旗指,由於對互聯網和科技行業的監管收緊,出現了一系列大規模拋售,預計未來幾周可能會有更多的新準則出臺,認爲互聯網巨頭應該宣佈新的股票回購計劃或增加現有的回購計劃的規模,以顯示管理層對公司基本面的信心,並提振投資者的情緒。

熱點機會

▍芯片板塊:

中信證券表示,中芯國際和華虹半導體2021年業績有望持續高增長,2022年產能高景氣度大概率持續,產能持續擴張,工藝能力進展迅速,國內客戶訂單需求旺盛,當前估值仍具備較大向上空間。中芯國際和華虹半導體作爲中國大陸規模最大的兩家半導體制造企業,代表了中國大陸硅基半導體工藝製造的最高水平,具有極強的國家戰略地位,堅定看好。

中金髮表報告表示,今年第二季內地公募基金半導體倉位按季上升1.42個百分點至5.35%,滬(深)港通方面,南下資金主要買入華虹半導體及中芯國際。中金認爲今年第二季受到全球芯片短缺的影響,芯片產能供不應求,半導體產業鏈漲價不斷蔓延,行業景氣度持續。展望今年第三季,該行看好全球半導體行業延續高景氣度,中遊擴產帶動設備支出增長,以及半導體產業鏈的國產化趨勢。該行重點推薦中芯國際H股,評級均爲跑贏行業。

▍醫藥板塊:

小摩發表報告表示,MSCI中國醫療服務行業指數自6月28日高位以來已累計調整18%,該行認爲監管規定可能對中國醫療保健行業並無直接的基本面影響,但上述事件削弱了行業的市場估值,並認爲調整後創造投資機會。摩通指,認爲內地醫療監管主題明確:展望未來,預計內地醫療監管將繼續圍繞三大主題,第一是促進國內創新、第二是提高質量、第三是提高患者的可負擔性和可及性。該行表示,具有強大創新能力和管理執行力的藥企,料將在長期表現向好。該行表示將關注藥明康德、藥明生物、金斯瑞生物科技,以及A股的邁瑞醫療、恆瑞醫藥。

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