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人形機器人泡沫隱現?朱嘯虎"批量退出"引行業地震

繼高盛看空機器人之後,國內知名投資人金沙江創投管理合夥人朱嘯虎也公開給人形機器人“潑起了冷水”。

他表示,因“商業化不清晰”,正批量退出對人形機器人的投資

今日A股市場機器人概念股集體下挫,恆工精密跌超15%,漢威科技跌超11%,東港股份、龍溪股份跌停,中信重工、雷賽智能等跟跌。

創投圈爭議人形機器人

3月28日,金沙江創投管理合夥人朱嘯虎在公開場合表示“正批量退出人形機器人公司”,並直言行業“商業化路徑不清晰,共識度高度集中”是退出的核心原因。

在朱嘯虎看來,人形機器人企業面臨着兩大棘手難題:其一,技術成本居高不下,單臺機器人售價高達數十萬元,遠遠超出了實際應用場景的付費意願;其二,落地場景模糊不清,許多企業聲稱的客戶需求,更像是憑空想象出來的,並非真實存在。目前,人形機器人的主要客戶集中在高校、科研機構以及央企,但在朱嘯虎眼中,這些客戶並不能構成理想的可持續商業化模式。

這番言論瞬間引爆創投圈,“衆神”紛紛下場批判:

經緯創投創始人張穎很快就在朋友圈喊話,不同意朱嘯虎的觀點:“(機器人行業)過程中有點泡沫也非常正常。時間拉長,人形機器人賽道一定能出大公司。”

衆擎機器人的創始人趙同陽也公開表態,稱“我認爲他比較適合那種今年投入後年就見效的快餐式項目,AI和人形機器人都不是能讓他快速賺錢的項目,人形機器人在五年之內幾乎無處不在,是人類學會製造工具以來最刺激的一次工業革命”。

趙同陽還表示,慶幸的是見到的投資人中,幾乎有一半相信這個行業的未來,也願意一起陪跑。

被朱嘯虎投資的星海圖、鬆延動力等公司發佈聲明,強調“具身智能賽道長坡厚雪”,並展示技術進展!

值得注意的是,此前高盛也曾公開看空人形機器人,認爲目前人形機器人技術拐點仍不明朗,距離真正“上崗”還有很長的路要走。

行業兩極分化加劇

雖然人形機器人賽道依然是資本熱門的黃金賽道,但資本的態度正在從狂熱轉向審慎。

數據顯示,2024年全球人形機器人融資額超110億元,中國市場佔比過半,但機構投資者已開始分化,公募基金已在Q1減持部分高估值機器人概念股。

部分VC機構從2024年下半年開始已趨於謹慎,實際完成融資的項目數量偏少,且融資難度加大。

行業的兩極分化也愈發明顯,頭部企業如宇樹科技、優必選和智元機器人憑藉強大的技術實力和資源支持,率先佔領市場,相比之下,中小企業在融資過程中面臨更多挑戰,部分企業甚至難以進入中後期融資輪次。

未來,如何在技術突破與商業化落地之間找到平衡,將成爲人形機器人行業發展的關鍵。儘管現在多數機器人公司短期內盈利困難,但長遠來看,機器人板塊潛力巨大。

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