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《即日市評》恆指再升 中移創新高 車股及金屬股揚
市場憧憬美國加息周期或快完結,恆指今日(14日)反覆造好。美國公布3月生產物價指數出乎市場預期錄按月跌0.5%,按年則升2.7%(升幅是兩年多以來最低),美匯指數跌至近100水平,美股道指及納指隔晚(13日)各升1.1%及近2%。執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率處3.439厘,美匯指數跌至100.9,道指期貨最新跌105點或0.3%,納指期貨最新跌0.2%。人行行長易綱指內房市場出現積極變化,料內地今年GDP增速約5%,上證綜指今日升19點或0.6%收3,338點,深證成指升0.5%,滬深兩市成交額共1.115萬億元人民幣。 恆指高開78點,初段曾升138點一度高見20,482點後反覆,全日升94點或0.5%,收20,438點,連升兩日;國指升38點或0.6%,收6,914點;恆生科技指數升4點或0.1%,收4,164點。大市全日成交總額1,083.64億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入30.38億及20.76億元人民幣。中移動(00941.HK)股價曾見67.3元創新高,全日攀升1.6%收66.95元。中芯(00981.HK)全日股價攀升7.2%,華虹半導體(01347.HK)揚近3%,國務院總理李強指要加快芯片研發製造等關鍵核心技術攻關。 恆指本周累升107點或0.5%、國指本周累升20點或0.3%、恆生科指本周累跌73點或1.7%。美國公布3月CPI按年升5%(低市場原預期5.2%),市場憧憬美國加息周期或快完結,但阿里-SW(09988.HK)及騰訊(00700.HK)相繼受到大股東計劃減持等消息影響。 【中移創新高 車股有支持】 汽車股有支持,吉利(00175.HK)及比亞迪(01211.HK)全日股價各上揚3.9%及2.1%,長汽(02333.HK)股價彈高9.6%。摩根大通發表報告,表示關注將於本月下旬舉行的上海車展,指出作為中國以至全球最大型汽車行業盛事之一,其意義不僅在於規模,更是全球廠商自疫情以來首次向投資者及買家展示其最新產品及技術的主要機會。 摩通表示考慮到現貨及合約價格的時間差,該行預測鋰現貨價格的快速下跌,將有助於車企的毛利率於今年第二季末起改善,但提醒近期市場價格環境可能仍將充滿挑戰,行業平均折扣已達到2021年以來的歷史新高,新的排放標準7月起實施前的庫存清理趨勢,將帶來進一步的價格壓力。行業中,摩通較看好比亞迪,以及中升控股(00881.HK) 等優質經銷商。 【市寬略改善 金屬股揚升】 港股主板市寬略改善,主板股票的升跌比率為23比17(上日為19比20);恆指成份股今日46隻股份上升,下跌股份24隻,升跌比率為61比32(上日為55比43)。大市今日錄沽空139.93億元,佔可沽空股份成交額948.95億元的約14.745%(上日為16.453%)。 金屬原材料股上揚,中鋁(02600.HK)及江西銅(00358.HK)股價分別走高6.5%及3.3%,靈寶黃金(03330.HK)漲4.7%,鞍鋼(00347.HK)股價上揚3.2%。 花旗發表報告指,在過去六個月,中國以外的鋼鐵價格強勁反彈,其中歐洲上漲40%,美國由谷底上漲近一倍;相比之下,內地熱軋鋼捲(HRC)價格僅較谷底上漲約20%。報告進一步稱,國際鋼價近兩月抽升,主因能源成本上升及俄羅斯/烏克蘭鋼材出口受干擾,以及中國鋼價滯後。該行指,相比其他國家,中國產品價格滯後約兩至三個月的時間,而今年3月鋼淨出口量為720萬噸,創七年高,按年升83%。
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