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期權大單 | 阿裏巴巴獲大單看漲!市場做多情緒高漲
uSMART盈立智投 12-02 17:55

一、期權異動

12月1日,美股AMC、奈飛、Salesforce等標的出現了期權成交量上的較大變化,分別爲日常成交量的3.4、2.2、6.4倍。

異動方面,阿裏巴巴期權異動單登上榜首。​​不過,特別值得注意的是AMC院線,該股雖然沒有登上異動榜,但其股價週四一度飆升27%,創下5月12日以來的最大漲幅;收盤上漲13%。AMC院線的看漲期權交易量是過去20天平均水平的三倍!

週四,AMC院線看漲期權交易佔比達到66%。12月2日到期的行權價8美元的CALL Option成交量尤其高,有80,218份合約交易。

此外,apewisdom顯示,AMC院線在過去24小時內在Reddit的WSB頁面被提及138次,暴增626%,排名第三。

作爲“散戶逼空”中的帶頭大哥,AMC院線是不是又要掀起一場風暴?

高盛策略師Rocky Fishman近日表示,超短期期權一直是“交易量增長最強勁的領域”。他估計,在今年第三和第四季度交易的標普500指數期權中,日內交易的佔比達到約44%。起初華爾街策略師以爲期權日內交易主要由個人投資者推動的,但按照摩根大通的研究結果,在針對標普500指數的期權日內交易中,個人賬戶的佔比僅爲5.6%。

期權日內交易可以從盤中波動獲得風險敞口,其中期權賣方收取溢價,並在相對較短的時間內承擔價格風險。

而之所以會將期權日內交易和波動行情聯繫在一起,是考慮到賣出期權合約的做市商會對衝頭寸以避免押注市場走向,而有時這種對衝將會加速行情變化。比如在做市商大量出售股指看漲期權之後,標普500指數上漲,那麼他們就可以通過購買標普500指數期貨來進行對衝。對此有觀點認爲,指數期貨交易會反過來影響股價。

部分金融機構試圖將這種交易方式“武器化”,以“放大和榨取”預期的方式來左右市場走勢。

二、總成交量前10

12月首個交易日,美股漲跌不一,納指微漲,道指下跌190點。投資者正在評估一系列經濟數據,並等待週五的11月非農就業報告。美聯儲青睞的10月核心PCE指數表明通脹壓力下降,11月ISM製造業指數出現2020年5月份以來的首次萎縮。

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