一文综合大行於比亚迪(01211.HK)公布业绩後最新评级、目标价及观点
比亚迪(01211.HK)今早股价造淡,盘中低见158元一度下滑7.7%,最新报165.6元跌3.2%,券商指比亚迪首季业绩指引疲弱,估计今年首季纯利介乎2亿至3亿元人民币,较去年第四季8.21亿元人民币明显回落,瑞银更指将将触发市场同业下调对比亚迪全年盈利预测,怀疑今次或许是市场预期下调的转捩点。
该公司昨日(29日)收市後公布去年业绩,纯利按年升1.62倍至42.34亿元人民币;每股盈利1.47元人民币,派每股末期息0.148元人民币。比亚迪去年实现收入按年升26%至1,534.69亿元人民币,其中汽车、汽车相关产品及其他产品业务的收入按年升38%至819.58亿元人民币;手机部件、组装及其他产品业务的收入按年升13%至593.54亿元人民币;二次充电电池及光伏业务的收入按年升20%至117.05亿元人民币。
比亚迪预期截至今3月底止首季度盈利录按年增加78%至166%,至2亿至3亿元人民币,每股基本盈利为0.06至0.09元人民币。
【首季指引逊色 券商纷降预测】
大和指出,比亚迪今年首季盈利指标为2亿至3亿元人民币,较去年第四季的8.21亿元人民币大幅减少,认为业绩指引疲弱,可能与原材料价格上升损害毛利率有关。该行给予比亚迪「买入」评级,目标价290元。
瑞银则指,比亚迪去年第四季毛利率降至16.6%,较2019年第四季的17%还要差。该行更指,今年首季业绩指引疲弱,将触发市场下调对其全年盈利预测,且由於大众电动车市场竞争加剧,怀疑今次只是市场预期下调的转捩点。该行维持对比亚迪「沽售」评级,目标价144元。
瑞信指出,比亚迪今年首季盈利预测仅为市场预期全年盈利的3%至5%,该行因而下调对比亚迪今明两年盈利预测7.5%至7.8%,目标价由310元降至280元,维持「跑赢大市」评级。而野村则持不同意见,认为比亚迪今年股价有多项催化剂,包括新车款推出推动销售,刀片电池可能获同业青睐及分析半导体业务推动估值重估。该行维持对比亚迪「买入」评级与目标价300元不变。
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本网最新综合5间券商对其投资评级及目标价:
券商│投资评级│目标价(港元)
花旗│买入│349元
野村│买入│300元
大和│买入│290元
瑞信│跑赢大市│310元->280元
瑞银│沽售│144元
券商│观点
花旗│去年第四季纯利符预期,今年首季业绩指引合理
野村│今年料有多股价催化剂
大和│去年第四季业绩符预期,今年首季指引疲弱,或因原料成本上升
瑞信│今年首季业绩疲弱,受成本上涨及补贴削减拖累
瑞银│今年首季盈利按季下跌
(fc/w)
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