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《市評》內地PMI遜預期 恆指跌逾1%但北水淨流入131億 快手受捧
美聯儲局維持利率不變符預期,內地7月官方製造業PMI回落至49.3遜預期,港股今日向下。聯儲局宣布維持利率於4.25厘至4.5厘不變,聯儲局理事沃勒和鮑曼投反對票,為自1993年以來首次同時有兩名理事反對委員會的決定,而聲明中沒有暗示未來利率走向,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.4%及升0.15%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息率處於3.937%,美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.368%,美匯指數跌至99.68,道指期貨最新升178點或0.4%,納指期貨最新升318點或1.4%。內地7月官方非製造業PMI為50.1(市場原預測50.2),上證綜指全日跌42點或1.2%收3,573點,深證成指跌1.2%,滬深兩市成交額共1.94萬億元人民幣。。 金管局在紐約時段買入39.25億港元,恆指低開194點,早市跌幅曾收窄至176點見25,000點,午後跌幅擴大,曾跌432點一度低見24,744點,全日跌403點或1.6%,收24,773點;國指跌155點或1.7%,收8,882點;恆生科技指數跌37點或0.7%,收5,453點。大市全日成交總額3,206.33億元。北水交易總成交額1,704.75億元,而南向資金今日淨流入131.26億元(上日淨流入117.14億元)。盈富基金(02800.HK)全日跌1.6%,成交額180億元,恆生中國企業(02828.HK)下滑1.7%,成交額137.8億元。內房股受壓龍湖(00960.HK)挫6.2%,萬科(02202.HK)下滑7.4%。 恆指7月累升701點或2.9%、國指7月累升204點或2.4%及恆生科指7月累升150點或2.8%,美國與多個國家達成貿易協議,降低全球經濟不穩定的風險,市場亦憧憬中美經貿談判進展正面,恆指月內亦曾升至三年半高位。 【美團股價受壓 快手逆市受捧】 科網股走個別,騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價升0.2%收550元,美團(03690.HK)股價下滑4.6%收121.6元。外電引述知情人士指,騰訊南非大股東Naspers旗下Prosus近日開始減持於美團的持股,過去兩星期已售出約2.5億美元的美團股份,並可能進一步減持,預期Prosus將運用所得資金來發展其他電商品牌。 Facebook母公司Meta(META.US)上季盈利按年升36%優於市場預期,公司料明年的總支出和資本支出都將大幅增加,因基礎設施成本上升,及支持人工智能計劃的持續投資,Meta盤前股價升逾11%。金蝶國際(00268.HK)全日股價彈高9.3%,金山雲(03896.HK)揚5.5%。快手(01024.HK)全日股價彈高近6.4%收77元,成交額68.08億元,內媒報道,可靈AI繼登上《新聞聯播》後,又登上了央視《焦點訪談》節目,可靈AI產品在北美、歐洲、東亞等市場用戶增長很快,全球累計用戶已超過4,500萬。據此前公開消息,今年4月可靈對外公佈全球用戶已達2,200萬,至今僅3個月便翻番。 【下跌股千五隻 渣打跌幅收窄】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為14比37(上日為18比30),下跌股份1,518隻(跌幅2.8%),恆指成份股今日10隻股份上升,下跌股74隻,升跌比率為12比87(上日38比58)。大市今日錄沽空513.12億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,915.51億元的17.6%。 匯控(00005.HK)股價下滑0.8%收96.15元,渣打(02888.HK)盤中曾跌4.6%至137元,中午公布中期業績後股價跌幅收窄,全日僅跌1.1%收142元。渣打公布上半年除稅前列賬基準溢利43.83億美元,按年增加25.5%,勝本網綜合3間券商預測的介乎36.21億至42.14億美元。列賬基準股東應佔溢利按年升39.2%至33.09億美元。列賬基準每股盈利129.1美仙。集團同時宣布進行另一輪13億美元的股份回購,中期息增加37%至每股12.3美仙。此新一輪股份回購,加上中期股息2.88億美元,使集團自2023年全年業績以來所公佈的股東回報總額達到65億美元,穩步邁向於2026年底前給股東回饋最少80億美元的目標。 摩根士丹利表示,渣打集團第二季業績鞏固,淨利息收入比市場及該行原預期各低1%及2%,淨息差按季收窄14個基點至1.98%,非利息收入表現超預期,主要受全球市場和財富管理解決方案推動,成本基本符合預期,導致稅前營運利潤(PPoP)比比市場及該行原預期高出12%及5%。該行指渣打的的2025財年指引略有上調,收入增長預計位於5-7%範圍底部(之前為低於5-7%),淨利息收入預計按年下降低個位數百分比(之前為「增長具挑戰性」,市場預期-2%),指集團第二季度表現穩健,維持對渣打「增持」評級及目標價121.5元。
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