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《市評》恆指四連升 阿里抽高近7% 內房股下滑
英偉達(NVDA.US)獲美國政府許可恢復向中國銷售H20晶片,受阿里巴巴(09988.HK)抽升7%帶動,港股今日持續向上。美股道指及納指隔晚各升0.2%及0.3%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息升至3.902%,美國10年期債券孳息跌至4.417%,美匯指數跌0.12%至97.96,道指期貨最新跌59點或0.13%,納指期貨最新升121點或0.5%。內地公布第二季GDP按年增5.2%(預期增5.1%)、上半年GDP按年增5.3%符預期、6月規模以上工業增加值按年增6.8%(預期增5.6%)、6月零售銷售按年升4.8%(市場預期增5.3%)。上證綜指全日跌14點或0.4%收3,505點,深證成指升0.56%,滬深兩市成交額共1.61萬億元人民幣。 恆指高開78點,早市倒跌61點一度低見24,141點後再度上升,以全日高位24,590點收市,升386點或1.6%,連升四日(累升697.8點或2.9%)。國指全日升144點或1.7%,報8,877點;恆生科技指數升147點或2.8%,收5,431點。大市全日成交總額2,884億元。北水交易總成交額1,507.55億元,而南向資金今日淨流入33.24億元(上日淨流入82.43億元)。 【恆指四連升 阿里受追捧】 英偉達將恢復向中國銷售H20晶片,科技股方面,阿里股價彈高7%收113.5元,成交額216.52億元,萬國數據(09698.HK)及金山雲(03896.HK)續升12.2%及16.8%。中芯(00981.HK)跌1.8%。 里昂發表研究報告指,金山雲(KC.US)今日股價上升主要受到英偉達行政總裁黃仁勳訪華,以及公司透露已獲美國通知H20晶片獲得出口許可的利好消息所刺激。里昂預期,此前金山雲曾因H20禁令導致晶片供應緊張,需與服務器租賃方分享收入,並將第二季毛利率指引下調至14%,全年經調整經營利潤率預料錄得低單位數跌幅,相信潛在的B30及H20交付可緩解其晶片短缺問題,帶來利潤率上行空間,予「跑贏大市」評級,目標價17美元。 【升股一千隻 內房股下滑】 港股今日市寬續向好,主板股票的升跌比率為26比23(上日為31比19),上升股份1,070隻(升幅3.1%),恆指成份股今日58隻股份上升,下跌股26隻,升跌比率為68比31(上日62比31)。大市今日錄沽空350.35億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,623.78億元的13.353%(上日為12.935%)。 內房股回吐,遠洋(03377.HK)及雅居樂(03383.HK)跌6.9%及5.9%,富力(02777.HK)、合景泰富(01813.HK)、金茂(00817.HK)及融創中國(01918.HK)跌3.6%至4.2%。萬科(02202.HK)預計半年虧損100億至120億人民幣,股價跌2.1%。 大和發表港股報告示,在房地產方面,雖然近期擴大城市更新項目的政策希望支撐了市場情緒,但由於地方財政狀況仍然緊張,大和對今年餘下時間的房地產刺激措施預期相對較低。高線(high-tier)城市的大多數購房限制已取消,過去18個月內人行已兩次下調存量貸款的按揭貸款利率。在2025年上半年經濟復甦向好和關稅影響可控的背景下,該行認為政策制定者將專注於實施現有刺激政策,而非推出激進的「增量」刺激措施。
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