《信而有證》恆指上午窄幅悶 「反內卷」水泥煤炭跑出 國材購16369 海螺購 1505
恆指低開39點後窄幅波動,反映資金今日重點不在權重股。
根據手機應用程式「信搜牛熊」數據,恆指上日半日大升後,資金傾向作看淡部署,好倉逾5,800萬離場,淡倉則有逾3,900萬淨流入,與過去一年平均值比較處於「明顯流入」水平。
牛熊證街貨比例反彈至65:35,主要因爲上日一舉踢穿熊證不少重貨區,上望下一重貨區爲24,600點水平,約千張相對期指作部署;牛證方面,上日重貨區仍然在23,500點至23,600點水平,但更貼價的位置都有資金加倉。
牛熊證街貨分佈圖:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/cbbc/os-map
即市資金流方面,好友淡友早段均積極入場 ,好友揀選收回價較貼,距現價不足的300點的近牛較多。
信證熱門牛熊證:恆指牛證(57062),收回價23,900點;恆指熊證(61657),收回價24,550點。
「反內卷」繼續成爲市場尋寶板塊之一,上週市場較關注「光伏」/「鋼鐵」,今日資金流上市場轉向留意「水泥」/「煤炭」。消息上,中國建材(03323)發盈喜今日曾升近一成,預計上半年利潤約13.5億人民幣,上年同期虧損20.18億人民幣,更提到主要產品水泥及玻璃纖維銷售價格上升和銷售成本下降,剛好與「反內卷」的政策目標遙相呼應。中國神華(01088)則預計歸屬公司股東的淨利潤按年下降12.0%至21.9%,主因爲煤炭銷售量及平均銷售價格下降,但股價反而曾升半成。
「水泥」/「煤炭」相關好倉部署:
中國建材可以留意國材認購證(16369),行使價4.888元,26年9月底到期,實際槓桿約3倍;
海螺水泥可以留意海螺認購證(15053),行使價36.88元,25年12月底到期,實際槓桿約5倍;
中國神華可以留意神華認購證(15476),行使價42.88元,26年1月底到期,實際槓桿約6倍;
兗礦能源可以留意兗礦認購證(16209),行使價9.38元,26年5月底到期,實際槓桿約4倍;
中煤能源可以留意中煤認購證(14578),行使價10.38元,26年4月底到期,實際槓桿約5倍。
更多窩輪產品及資訊:中信證券輪證網站:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/index
中信證券輪證頻道:https://www.citicswarrants.com/tc/education/video-channel
風險披露及免責聲明
本結構性產品並無抵押品,如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。
本資料由中信證券經紀(香港)有限公司 (「本行」或「發行人」) 編制,其僱員可能持有不時在本資料所述證券之權益 。結構性產品屬複雜產品,投資前閣下應詳閱有關上市文件,完全瞭解其性質及潛在風險,自行評估箇中風險,並於需要時尋求專業意見。以上資料僅供參考,並不構成購買或出售結構性產品或達成任何交易的要約、遊說、邀請、意見或建議,亦不構成投資意見或服務。結構性產品的價格可急跌或急升,投資者或會損失所有投資。牛熊證設有強制收回機制,因此有可能提早終止,在此情況下(i)N類牛熊證投資者會損失於牛熊證的全部投資;而(ii)R類牛熊證之剩餘價值則可能爲零。過往表現並非未來表現的指標。本行可能是結構性產品的唯一市場參與者,而結構性產品的二級市場可能有限。~
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