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“稀土雙雄”提價引爆,千億龍頭2連板!週期拐點來了?
格隆匯 07-11 13:46

A股市場熱點迎高低切輪動

本週在多條主線發力下,滬指成功拿下3500點。

從熱點題材來看,前期強勢的算力硬件、穩定幣回落後,“反內卷”行情開啓。

眼下,大金融、CRO、房地產等迅速接力,稀土永磁近來表現也十分亮眼。

週五在多重因素影響下,稀土永磁概念繼續爆發。

截至發稿,三川智慧、久吾高科、包鋼股份、臥龍新能等多股漲停。

其中,北方稀土因業績爆表、提價斬獲2連板,現總市值達1074億元。

稀土雙雄提價

日前,國內兩大稀土巨頭官宣提價。

北方稀包鋼股份昨晚宣佈,擬將2025年第三季度稀土精礦關聯交易價格調整爲不含稅19109元/噸,較二季度的18825元/噸上漲1.5%。

這也是自2024年二季度以來連續第四次上調,累計漲幅已達13.8%。

而漲價的背後,是行業供需格局正面臨重構。

一方面,供應端收緊態勢明顯。此前,美國礦進口停滯、緬甸戰事致全球稀土供應鏈危機加劇,以及我國對中重稀土實施出口管制。

另一方面,需求端則持續爆發。在新能源、機器人等行業驅動下,稀土需求大爆發。

市場分析認爲,未來行業將繼續維持供需緊平衡的狀態,稀土產品價格仍有望保持高位。

今年來,稀土板塊逐步回暖,業績也迎拐點。

此前,千億龍頭北方稀土發佈半年度業績預告,淨利潤預增18倍令市場振奮。

公司預計,2025年上半年歸母淨利潤爲9億元至9.6億元,同比增加1882.54%到2014.71%。

扣非淨利潤爲8.8億元至9.4億元,同比增加5538.33%到5922.76%。

至於稀土漲價,北方稀土稱5月中美貿易談判突破使市場活躍,供應偏緊、需求穩定支撐價格。

價值重估新起點?

5月來,稀土永磁板塊整體持續走強,截至目前累計漲幅超27%。

隨着全球科技競爭加劇,稀土作爲戰略性資源的重要性也日益凸顯。

而在關稅政策博弈與產業升級的雙重驅動下,稀土永磁產業正迎來價值重估臨界點​​。

國投證券認爲,稀土漲價可期。

隨着5月份磁材企業陸續獲得出口許可證,出口逐步恢復,氧化鐠釹價格溫和上漲。目前產業鏈在等待配額落地,預計2025年稀土整體配額同比增速放緩。

國泰海通證券表示,當前處於板塊行情第二階段,靜待內外盤漲價共振。

由於2025年2月以來稀土商品價格到目前漲幅不大,因此板塊整體是緩慢向上。

但隨着後續海外補庫需求傳導疊加國內新能源汽車旺季來臨,稀土價格有望繼續上漲,帶動板塊向第三階段過渡(即商品價格、股價共振上行)。

隨着稀土價格中樞擡升,國內稀土磁材企業有望迎來業績、估值雙擊,優選資源、磁材端龍頭企業

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