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《市評》恆指守兩萬四 北水轉淨流出逾30億 阿里小米弱
6月財新中國服務業PMI降至50.6,恆指今日回落退守兩萬四關水平。美國總統特朗普周三宣布已與越南達成貿易協議,其中包括對越南進口到美國的商品徵收20%關稅,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.02%升0.9%。特朗普提出《大而美法案》取得足夠票數,通過眾議院程序表決,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息跌至3.764%,美國10年期債券孳息跌至4.253%,美匯指數跌0.04%至96.74,道指期貨最新升4點或0.01%,納指期貨最新升0.08%。上證綜指全日升6點或0.2%收3,461點,深證成指升1.2%,滬深兩市成交額共1.3萬億元人民幣。就美國與越南達成貿易協議一事,國家商務部發言人稱樂見各方通過平等磋商解決與美方經貿分歧,但堅決反對任何一方以犧牲中方利益為手段達成交易,若出現這樣的情況,中方將堅決予以反制,維護自身正當權益。 恆指高開12點,初段升47點見24,269點後回落,曾跌301點一度低見23,920點,全日跌151點或0.6%,收24,069點;國指跌76點或0.9%,報8,648點;恆生科技指數跌35點或0.7%,收5,233點。大市全日成交總額2,312.47億元。北水交易總成交額1,278.37億元,而南向資金今日淨流出30.48億元(上日淨買入50.36億元),自5月26日以來再度錄淨流出。港交所(00388.HK)走低1.4%。 多點數智(02586.HK)擬申請香港穩定幣牌照,股價炒高23.6%報11.14元,成交18.77億元,國泰君安國際(01788.HK)炒上11.6%,成交逾45億元。鋼鐵股昨日炒高後今日回落,馬鋼(00323.HK)跌近5%,重鋼(01053.HK)下滑23.3%報1.32元,成交15.69億元。周六福(06168.HK)及椰子水IFBH(06603.HK)各下挫7.6%及10.9%。 【北水轉流出 阿里小米弱】 科技股方面,南非Naspers唱淡美團(03690.HK)國際擴張,直言缺乏信心考慮減持股份,美團全日股價下滑2.5%。阿里巴巴(09988.HK)跌2.9%報106.2元,成交額164.71億元。高盛發表報告,考慮到阿里業務勢頭強勁,但餐飲外賣、即時零售業務投資增加,該行下調對阿里2026財年至2028財年每股盈利預測%,並將目標價由154元降至146元。 小米(01810.HK)全日股價下滑3.4%報58.1元,成交額136億元。小米創辦人雷軍透露,小米汽車目前國內排隊的人實在太多,所以這兩年先優先把國內的交付問題解決以後,大概2027年才會考慮出口。海通國際發表報告,小米汽車6月銷量超2.5萬輛,按月回落約3,000輛。YU7於6月26日上市,18小時內鎖單逾24萬台;當前主要壓力在交付端,工廠二期產能釋放節奏將成關鍵變量。該行預計YU7年底單月交付有望破4萬輛。 【升股千一隻 手機股造好】 港股今日市寬略轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為28比21(上日為29比21),上升股份1,151隻(升幅3.2%),恆指成份股今日51隻股份上升,下跌股31隻,升跌比率為60比36(上日80比18)。大市今日錄沽空267.43億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,005.34億元的13.336%(上日為14.58%)。 美國與越南達成關稅協議,申洲(02313.HK)及裕元(00551.HK)分別走高2.4%及2.1%,創科(00669.HK)升1.2%。手機部件股舜宇(02382.HK)、丘鈦(01478.HK)及高偉電子(01415.HK)升4.1%至4.7%,瑞聲(02018.HK)升3.4%, 花旗發表報告,特朗普宣布美國與越南達成貿易協議。美國將對越南出口至美國的商品徵收20%關稅,對轉口貿易徵收40%關稅。該行認為這基本符合市場預期。回顧特朗普曾提議對越南進口商品徵收46%的對等關稅。相比之下,美國對越南市場享有免關稅准入。花旗預計美國可能很快與其他東盟國家,如柬埔寨和印尼,敲定關稅法案。此消息將最利好創科實業,因其65%的收入來自美國,但今年近一半美國銷售產品在越南製造。花旗重申對創科實業、申洲國際、九興(01836.HK) 、晶苑國際(02232.HK)的「買入」評級。
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