《大行》匯豐研究料美聯儲局今年9月、12月及明年3月各減息25個基點
匯豐環球研究發表報告表示,美國聯儲局維持政策利率不變,降息前景將取決於關稅對消費者通脹的影響、勞動市場狀況及失業率的變化,該行預計美元將進一步走弱,對風險資產持樂觀看法。
該行指美聯儲局現預計核心個人消費支出(PCE)通脹率將在今年底上升至3.1%,該行計算,若美國核心PCE價格指數在今年餘下時間每月上升0.3%,則這預測將實現。監於這一基準,任何高於0.3%的月度數據將偏「鷹派」,可能導致美聯儲局更長時間維持政策利率不變或放緩降息步伐。相反,0.3%的月度數據(尤其是低於0.3)將增強政策制定者對關稅對消費者通脹影響可能不如預期大的信心。該行仍預測今年和明年累計降息75個基點,反映該行認爲美通脹將在此期間遠高於當局2%的通脹目標。該行預計美聯儲局在今年9月、12月和明年3月各降息25個基點。(wl/u)
~
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.