《市評》港股回吐 北水淨流入減70% 快手績後彈近6%
港股今日回落。市場關注歐美貿易談判進展,美股道指及納指隔晚各升1.8%及2.5%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息跌至3.959%,美國10年期債券孳息升至4.471%,美匯指數升0.04%至99.56,道指期貨最新跌94點或0.22%,納指期貨最新跌0.2%。上證綜指全日微跌不足1點或0.02%收3,339點,深證成指跌0.26%,滬深兩市成交額共1.01萬億元人民幣。。
港股今日反覆偏軟,恆指高開3點,初段升94點一度高見23,476點後回落,午後曾跌201點低見23,180點,全日跌123點或0.5%,收23,258點;國指跌26點或0.3%,收8,443點;恆生科技指數跌7點或0.2%,收5,174點。大市全日成交總額1,808.16億元。而南向資金今日淨買入35.78億元(上日淨買入119.75億元)較上日流入降70%,港交所(00388.HK)下滑1.8%。。
蜜雪(02097.HK)及泡泡瑪特(09992.HK)全日股價各急吐5.5%及7.1%,阿里影業(01060.HK)炒高11.5%。半新股恆瑞醫藥(01276.HK)全日彈高4.7%報57.5元,寧德時代(03750.HK)升近1%收312元。
【北水流入降 泡泡瑪特吐】
拼多多(PDD.US)首季營收按年增10%至956.7億元人民幣,遠低於市場預期的1,031.3億元人民幣,淨利潤下降47%至147.4億元人民幣,拼多多隔晚股價挫13.6%,而阿里巴巴(09988.HK)今日(28日)股價下滑1.9%收115.7元。
中銀國際發表報告指,拼多多首季業績遜預期,非公認會計準則下淨利潤按年跌45%,較該行及市場普遍預期低,相信是由於市場競爭加劇,以及拼多多爲商家提供大量幫扶措施,所導致的短期利潤率下降。年度618大促將來臨,該行預期拼多多第二季利潤率將繼續受壓,將其投資評級下調至「持有」,並將目標價從150美元下調至98美元,同時亦下調2025至2027年盈利預測。
【沽空率回落 快手績後揚】
港股今日市寬略轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲21比24(上日爲26比20),恆指成份股今日40只股份上升,下跌股40只,升跌比率爲48比48(上日62比34)。大市今日錄沽空293.35億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,593.8億元的18.405%(上日爲20.709%)。
小米(01810.HK)首季非國際財務報告準則純利升65%勝預期,全日股價升0.4%報51.75元。快手(01024.HK)首季非國際財務報告準則淨利增4%,公司有信心次季網上廣告收入雙位數增長,股價升5.9%報51.65元。
高盛發表報告指,快手今年首季業績符合預期,認爲快手今年剩餘時間的增長動能仍具積極趨勢。其廣告、GMV增速優於行業、第二季趨勢逐步改善,以及在人工智能應用領域的堅實地位,可能成爲推動股價重估的潛在驅動因素。該行將快手目標價從62元升至63元,維持「買入」評級。該行表示,因反映直播業務與其他服務收入的表現更佳,以及受可靈AI變現所推動,將快手2025至2027年收入預測略爲上調0.7%至1.1%。另考慮到AI相關投資(包括研發及銷售營銷開支),下調2025至2027年淨利潤率預測0.5至0.3個百分點。
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