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郭思治:大市續往上創1月份之新高
阿思達克 01-28 09:30
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,今日(28日)是年廿九,由於今年並無年三十,故今日是龍年最後一個交易日,只得半個交易日,先看昨天之市勢,恆指昨早市先高開52點至20,118點,其後在買盤扶持下再穩步上升至20,296點方漸受規限,即恆指其時已曾急升230點並順勢創1月份之新高,相對本月低位爲13日之18,671點計,本月大市在先低後高之形態主導下,月內之波幅已擴闊至1,625點,由於恆指亦已漸升離各組平均移動線,技術上該有利於2月上旬之發展,只是農曆新年已近,故投資者受大節將至所影響,心態上多抱觀望,因此即使大市持續再創月內新高,但市內卻充滿觀望氣氛,完全沒有任何熾烈感,恆指最後報收20,197點,較上日升131點,全日總成交金額爲1,473億元。 移動線方面略見突破,在大市持續急升帶動下,目前10天線(約在19,739點左近)已重越50天線(約在19,689點左近)及100天線(約在19,732點左近),連同20天線(約在19,623點左近)及250天線(約在18,261點左近)計在內,即10天線現已重越上述四組平均移動線,單從技術上看,該表示整個大市不但已擺脫月初欲試底之弱態,且只要動力配合,短期後市該可進一步上試小圖上之小雙頂,分別爲去年12月10日之高位21,070點及11月8日之高位21,355點,當然,情況該在2月上旬及中旬才能見到,但需強調一點,大市之成交金額必需明顯增加,方具足夠動力去挑戰上述之小雙頂。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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